Scholarlink

<p>Influential projections of coral reef futures have used Degree Heating Months—a monthly reformulation of the well-validated Degree Heating Weeks index. Here we show that heat stress predictions using the 2 metrics differ substantially, with 33–1,584% additional bleaching predicted under many climate models when using Degree Heating Months. Coral cover projections for 2030–2050 differ by a factor of 2 between the 2 metrics, reducing the credibility of forecasts that use Degree Heating Months as it is currently applied.</p>

错误：搜索内容不能为空，请输入英文关键词
错误：关键词超出字数限制，请精简
高级检索

Coral bleaching and mortality overestimated in projections based on Degree Heating Months

  • 期刊论文

  • 出版模式：

    开放获取

  • 发表日期：

    2025年1月23日

查看全文
  • Robert A. B. Mason,
  • Yves-Marie Bozec,
  • Peter J. Mumby

摘要

Influential projections of coral reef futures have used Degree Heating Months—a monthly reformulation of the well-validated Degree Heating Weeks index. Here we show that heat stress predictions using the 2 metrics differ substantially, with 33–1,584% additional bleaching predicted under many climate models when using Degree Heating Months. Coral cover projections for 2030–2050 differ by a factor of 2 between the 2 metrics, reducing the credibility of forecasts that use Degree Heating Months as it is currently applied.