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Human-induced borealization leads to the collapse of Bering Sea snow crab

  • Michael A. Litzow,
  • Erin J. Fedewa,
  • Michael J. Malick,
  • Brendan M. Connors,
  • Lisa Eisner,
  • David G. Kimmel,
  • Trond Kristiansen,
  • Jens M. Nielsen,
  • Emily R. Ryznar

摘要

The abrupt collapse of the Bering Sea snow crab stock can be explained by rapid borealization that is >98% likely to have been human induced. Strongly boreal conditions are ~200 times more likely now (at 1.0–1.5 °C of warming) than in the pre-industrial climate, while strongly Arctic conditions are now expected in only 8% of years. Stakeholders should accelerate adaptation planning for the complete loss of Arctic characteristics in traditional fishing grounds.