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<p>Prediction of future events is essential for guiding effective actions in dynamic environments. Studies on the neural mechanisms for time-forward predictions have typically used stimuli with relatively simple statistical regularities. Here, we investigated time-forward predictions using stimuli containing statistical regularities similar to those found in natural auditory stimuli. Using intracranial EEG recordings in neurosurgical patients, we found that prediction signals were primarily carried by low-frequency activity across widespread cortical regions, including sensory, parietal, and frontal areas. Prediction-error (PE) signals were found in both low- and high-frequency activity, with high-frequency components localized mainly to sensory areas. Contrary to previous hypotheses, prediction and PE signals did not show a clear spatial or spectral segregation. Directed connectivity between brain regions decreased over the course of the stimulus sequence as predictability increased, except for pathways originating from the parietal cortex. These results reveal integrative and distributed predictive processing and highlight the dorsal auditory pathway in time-forward prediction.</p>

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Neural mechanisms of time-forward predictions for naturalistic auditory tone sequences

  • 期刊论文

  • 出版模式：

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  • 发表日期：

    2026年7月9日

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  • Thomas J. Baumgarten,
  • Lua Koenig,
  • Richard Hardstone,
  • Adeen Flinker,
  • Sasha Devore,
  • Daniel Friedman,
  • Patricia Dugan,
  • Orrin Devinsky,
  • Biyu J. He

摘要

Prediction of future events is essential for guiding effective actions in dynamic environments. Studies on the neural mechanisms for time-forward predictions have typically used stimuli with relatively simple statistical regularities. Here, we investigated time-forward predictions using stimuli containing statistical regularities similar to those found in natural auditory stimuli. Using intracranial EEG recordings in neurosurgical patients, we found that prediction signals were primarily carried by low-frequency activity across widespread cortical regions, including sensory, parietal, and frontal areas. Prediction-error (PE) signals were found in both low- and high-frequency activity, with high-frequency components localized mainly to sensory areas. Contrary to previous hypotheses, prediction and PE signals did not show a clear spatial or spectral segregation. Directed connectivity between brain regions decreased over the course of the stimulus sequence as predictability increased, except for pathways originating from the parietal cortex. These results reveal integrative and distributed predictive processing and highlight the dorsal auditory pathway in time-forward prediction.