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<p>Truck-hailing is an emerging business model that could potentially transform the road freight sector. As a new form of horizontal collaborative transport, it offers great potential to improve operational efficiency—an important yet underrepresented demand-side strategy in current transport decarbonization research. Drawing on a proprietary national truck-hailing dataset (N = 51,021) and an enhanced vehicle fleet model that incorporates operational factors, here we assess the potential carbon emission impacts of truck-hailing and operational efficiency improvements in China under multiple scenarios. Under medium projections, enhancements in load factor and reductions in empty running could cut China’s road freight emissions by 886-2203 Mt (9%-24%) in the near term (2020–2035) and 2504-3327 Mt (23%-31%) in the long term (2035–2060), compared to a business-as-usual pathway. However, capacity constraints of zero-emission vehicles may reduce these benefits, resulting in roughly 3% higher emissions in the near term and nearly 10% in the long term.</p>

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The potential role of truck-hailing and operational efficiency improvement in China’s road freight decarbonization

  • 期刊论文

  • 出版模式：

    开放获取

  • 发表日期：

    2026年4月2日

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  • Xun Xu,
  • Shiqi Ou,
  • Tianduo Peng,
  • Zhenhong Lin,
  • Xunmin Ou,
  • Zhandong Xu,
  • Mi Gan,
  • Dandan Li,
  • Xiaobo Liu

摘要

Truck-hailing is an emerging business model that could potentially transform the road freight sector. As a new form of horizontal collaborative transport, it offers great potential to improve operational efficiency—an important yet underrepresented demand-side strategy in current transport decarbonization research. Drawing on a proprietary national truck-hailing dataset (N = 51,021) and an enhanced vehicle fleet model that incorporates operational factors, here we assess the potential carbon emission impacts of truck-hailing and operational efficiency improvements in China under multiple scenarios. Under medium projections, enhancements in load factor and reductions in empty running could cut China’s road freight emissions by 886-2203 Mt (9%-24%) in the near term (2020–2035) and 2504-3327 Mt (23%-31%) in the long term (2035–2060), compared to a business-as-usual pathway. However, capacity constraints of zero-emission vehicles may reduce these benefits, resulting in roughly 3% higher emissions in the near term and nearly 10% in the long term.