<p>Compound dry-hot extremes exert stronger environmental impacts than individual dry or hot extremes. While evidence for increasing meteorological compound dry-hot extremes (defined using surface air temperature and vapor pressure deficit or precipitation) is growing, the impacts and evolving risks of soil-based compound dry-hot extremes remain poorly understood. Using homogenized soil temperature observations and observationally constrained soil moisture dataset for China, we show that the adverse effects of soil-based compound dry-hot extremes on vegetation productivity are more severe than their meteorological counterparts. From 1980 to 2017, the frequency and coverage area of soil-based compound dry-hot extremes in China increased by 3.0 days and 141.9<InlineEquation ID="IEq1"> <EquationSource Format="TEX">\(\times\)</EquationSource> <EquationSource Format="MATHML"><math> <mo>×</mo> </math></EquationSource> </InlineEquation>10<sup>4 </sup>km<sup>2</sup>, respectively, with the most pronounced increases occurring in northern China. These increases are primarily attributed to anthropogenic soil warming. Under a fossil-fueled development scenario, the mean frequency of such extremes is projected to increase by 13.3 days by the end of the twenty-first century relative to the 1981–2010 baseline, potentially reducing China’s terrestrial vegetation gross primary production by approximately 0.025 Pg C a<sup>−1</sup>. Our findings highlight an anthropogenic escalation of soil-based compound dry-hot extremes and their growing threats to terrestrial carbon sinks and food security.</p>

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Anthropogenically-driven escalating impact of soil-based compound dry-hot extremes on vegetation productivity

  • Yani Liang,
  • Jun Wang,
  • Zengchao Hao,
  • Huanjiong Wang,
  • Huijuan Cui,
  • Quansheng Ge

摘要

Compound dry-hot extremes exert stronger environmental impacts than individual dry or hot extremes. While evidence for increasing meteorological compound dry-hot extremes (defined using surface air temperature and vapor pressure deficit or precipitation) is growing, the impacts and evolving risks of soil-based compound dry-hot extremes remain poorly understood. Using homogenized soil temperature observations and observationally constrained soil moisture dataset for China, we show that the adverse effects of soil-based compound dry-hot extremes on vegetation productivity are more severe than their meteorological counterparts. From 1980 to 2017, the frequency and coverage area of soil-based compound dry-hot extremes in China increased by 3.0 days and 141.9 \(\times\) × 104 km2, respectively, with the most pronounced increases occurring in northern China. These increases are primarily attributed to anthropogenic soil warming. Under a fossil-fueled development scenario, the mean frequency of such extremes is projected to increase by 13.3 days by the end of the twenty-first century relative to the 1981–2010 baseline, potentially reducing China’s terrestrial vegetation gross primary production by approximately 0.025 Pg C a−1. Our findings highlight an anthropogenic escalation of soil-based compound dry-hot extremes and their growing threats to terrestrial carbon sinks and food security.