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<p>We see unprecedented weather causing widespread impacts across the world. In this perspective, we provide an overview of methods that help anticipate unprecedented weather hazards that can contribute to stop being surprised. We then discuss disaster management and climate adaptation practices, their gaps, and how the methods to anticipate unprecedented weather may help build resilience. We stimulate thinking about transformative adaptation as a foundation for long-term resilience to unprecedented weather, supported by incremental adaptation through upgrading existing infrastructure, and reactive adaptation through short-term early action and disaster response. Because in the end, we should take responsibility to build resilience rather than being surprised by unprecedented weather.</p>

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How to stop being surprised by unprecedented weather

  • 期刊论文

  • 出版模式：

    开放获取

  • 发表日期：

    2025年3月10日

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  • Timo Kelder,
  • Dorothy Heinrich,
  • Lisette Klok,
  • Vikki Thompson,
  • Henrique M. D. Goulart,
  • Ed Hawkins,
  • Louise J. Slater,
  • Laura Suarez-Gutierrez,
  • Robert L. Wilby,
  • Erin Coughlan de Perez,
  • Elisabeth M. Stephens,
  • Stephen Burt,
  • Bart van den Hurk,
  • Hylke de Vries,
  • Karin van der Wiel,
  • E. Lisa F. Schipper,
  • Antonio Carmona Baéz,
  • Ellen van Bueren,
  • Erich M. Fischer

摘要

We see unprecedented weather causing widespread impacts across the world. In this perspective, we provide an overview of methods that help anticipate unprecedented weather hazards that can contribute to stop being surprised. We then discuss disaster management and climate adaptation practices, their gaps, and how the methods to anticipate unprecedented weather may help build resilience. We stimulate thinking about transformative adaptation as a foundation for long-term resilience to unprecedented weather, supported by incremental adaptation through upgrading existing infrastructure, and reactive adaptation through short-term early action and disaster response. Because in the end, we should take responsibility to build resilience rather than being surprised by unprecedented weather.