Integrative score based on CDK6, PD-L1 and TMB predicts response to platinum-based chemotherapy and PD-1/PD-L1 blockade in muscle-invasive bladder cancer

Cyclin-dependent kinase 6 (CDK6) was proved to be an important regulator in the progression of cell cycle and has been a promising therapeutic target in cancer treatment. However, the clinical significance of CDK6 in muscle-invasive bladder cancer (MIBC) remains obscure. Herein, we attempt to explore the clinical relevance of CDK6 and assess the feasibility of the integrative model to predict immune checkpoint blockade (ICB) response.

This study enrolled 933 patients with muscle-invasive bladder cancer (MIBC) from Zhongshan Hospital (ZSHS), The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA), Chemo, IMvigor210 and UC-GENOME cohorts. Kaplan-Meier survival and Cox regression analyses were performed to assess clinical outcomes based on CDK6 expression.

High CDK6 expression conferred poor prognosis and superior response to platinum-based chemotherapy but inferior response to ICB in MIBC. Furthermore, the integrative model named response score based on CDK6, PD-L1 and TMB could better predict the response to ICB and chemotherapy. Patients with higher response scores were characterised by inflamed immune microenvironment and genomic instability.

CDK6 expression was correlated with prognosis and therapy response in MIBC. Integration of CDK6, PD-L1 and TMB could better identify patients who were most likely to benefit from ICB and chemotherapy.