Gene expression-based dissemination score predicts early spread and poor outcomes in multiple myeloma
摘要
Multiple myeloma progresses from bone marrow–confined disease to systemic forms through processes linked to loss of adhesion and EMT-related programs. We analyzed baseline plasma cell RNA-seq, microarray, and single-cell datasets to derive and validate a dissemination score. In the newly diagnosed MMRF CoMMpass cohort (n = 754), differential expression analyses of circulating plasma cells (n = 592) and PET-CT–confirmed plasmacytomas (n = 118), integrated with 1114 EMTome genes, identified 1357 dissemination-associated genes. Elastic Net Cox regression derived a 30-gene Dissemination Score (DS) that stratified overall survival (54.5 vs 102.5 mo; C-index 0.71) and improved prognostic performance when added to UAMS70 and EMC92 in bootstrap analyses. DS was associated with Adverse stromal interaction (ASI) and stratified high-risk ASI interactions. In an independent Mayo Clinic cohort (n = 133), DS reproduced prognostic discrimination (52.1 vs 113.6 mo, p < 0.01) and predicted earlier dissemination events (2.1 vs 6.8 yrs, p < 0.01). In GSE117156, circulating plasma cells showed consistently higher DS than marrow plasma cells across MGUS, SMM, MM, and AL, with progressive DS increase from controls to MM. In GSE106218, CD138⁺ extramedullary plasma cells had higher DS than marrow plasma cells (p < 0.01). Collectively, DS quantifies dissemination biology.