Predicting survival in patients with myelodysplastic/myeloproliferative neoplasms with SF3B1 mutation and thrombocytosis

We investigated data from 180 consecutive patients with myelodysplastic/myeloproliferative neoplasms with SF3B1 mutation and thrombocytosis (MDS/MPN-SF3B1-T) who were diagnosed according to the 2022 World Health Organization (WHO) classification of myeloid neoplasms to identify covariates associated with survival. At a median follow-up of 48 months (95% confidence interval [CI] 35–61 months), the median survival was 69 months (95% CI 59–79 months). Patients with bone marrow ring sideroblasts (RS) < 15% had shorter median overall survival (OS) than did those with bone marrow RS ≥ 15% (41 months [95% CI 32–50 months] versus 76 months [95% CI 59–93 months]; P < 0.001). According to the univariable analyses of OS, age ≥ 65 years (P < 0.001), hemoglobin concentration (Hb) < 80 g/L (P = 0.090), platelet count (PLT) ≥ 800 × 10E + 9/L (P = 0.087), bone marrow RS < 15% (P < 0.001), the Revised International Prognostic Scoring System (IPSS-R) cytogenetic category intermediate/poor/very poor (P = 0.005), SETBP1 mutation (P = 0.061) and SRSF2 mutation (P < 0.001) were associated with poor survival. Based on variables selected from univariable analyses, two separate survival prediction models, a clinical survival model, and a clinical-molecular survival model, were developed using multivariable analyses with the minimum value of the Akaike information criterion (AIC) to specifically predict outcomes in patients with MDS/MPN-SF3B1-T according to the 2022 WHO classification.