<p>Understanding regional rainfall trends is vital to address the effects of climate change and guarantee water and food security. The present study analysed various statistical methods to examine spatio-temporal variations and changes in&#xa0;the distribution of regional rainfall from 1981 to 2022. Statistical analysis of the decadal rainfall data reveals a gradual increase in trend. The spatio-temporal analysis indicated divergent rainfall trends: 31% and 36% increases in&#xa0;the South and North Andaman districts, respectively, and a stable distribution in&#xa0;the Nicobar district. Notably, significant increases and decreases in rainfall events occurred at least once in a decade in the North Andaman and the Nicobar districts. The analysis of the coefficient of variance showed that while annual and monsoon rainfall exhibited low variability, non-rainy seasons showed significant variability, suggesting a considerable seasonal variation. Finally, the rainfall seasonality trends show clear spatial differences across the Andaman Islands. Over recent decades, rainfall&#xa0;concentration has become less regular, with decreases of 24% in South Andaman and 33% in North Andaman. Unlike this, in the Nicobar district, homogeneity persists throughout the whole period under study. Temporal analysis gives a significant shift (<i>p</i> &lt; 0.05) toward more irregular patterns in recent decades, indicating an increase in hydroclimatic variability associated with climate change. The study identified heteroscedasticity patterns that underscore the non-stationary nature of current precipitation regimes.</p>

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Comprehensive multi-analysis of rainfall patterns in Andaman and Nicobar Islands, India

  • Mathiazhagan Mookiah,
  • P. Thambidurai,
  • Anil Kumar Dikshit

摘要

Understanding regional rainfall trends is vital to address the effects of climate change and guarantee water and food security. The present study analysed various statistical methods to examine spatio-temporal variations and changes in the distribution of regional rainfall from 1981 to 2022. Statistical analysis of the decadal rainfall data reveals a gradual increase in trend. The spatio-temporal analysis indicated divergent rainfall trends: 31% and 36% increases in the South and North Andaman districts, respectively, and a stable distribution in the Nicobar district. Notably, significant increases and decreases in rainfall events occurred at least once in a decade in the North Andaman and the Nicobar districts. The analysis of the coefficient of variance showed that while annual and monsoon rainfall exhibited low variability, non-rainy seasons showed significant variability, suggesting a considerable seasonal variation. Finally, the rainfall seasonality trends show clear spatial differences across the Andaman Islands. Over recent decades, rainfall concentration has become less regular, with decreases of 24% in South Andaman and 33% in North Andaman. Unlike this, in the Nicobar district, homogeneity persists throughout the whole period under study. Temporal analysis gives a significant shift (p < 0.05) toward more irregular patterns in recent decades, indicating an increase in hydroclimatic variability associated with climate change. The study identified heteroscedasticity patterns that underscore the non-stationary nature of current precipitation regimes.