Struggle for survival in climate change conditions: What are the strategies of the Bam Dej wetland users?
摘要
In recent years, climate change and improper exploitation of the Bam Dej wetland have disrupted the ecological balance and increased the vulnerability of stakeholders. This has jeopardized the sustainability of the wetland. Therefore, the present study aims to analyze the social-ecological resilience of the stakeholders of the Bam dej wetland in the face of climate change, using an exploratory mixed-method research approach (qualitative-quantitative). This approach provided a deeper understanding of the social and ecological interactions and helped identify the factors influencing resilience in this ecosystem. In the first phase, grounded theory methodology was used to analyze qualitative data. This method, implemented through semi-structured interviews with 20 managers, experts, and specialists familiar with the region, helped identify key concepts and extract a conceptual model of resilience. Participants were selected using snowball sampling, and data collection and analysis were conducted simultaneously through continuous comparison. Maxqda software was used for qualitative data analysis, with coding done in three stages: open, axial, and selective. In the second phase, the conceptual model obtained from the qualitative phase was tested quantitatively through structural analysis. The results of this study revealed that strategies were most influenced by contextual conditions, followed by intervening and causal conditions, indicating the significance of environmental and intervening conditions in shaping strategies. Furthermore, the outcomes were highly dependent on the strategies, and improvements in contextual conditions led to better outcomes. These findings confirm the model's ability to identify influential factors and provide practical solutions to enhance stakeholder resilience. Overall, the resilience level of the wetland stakeholders was assessed as moderate.