Systematic review and meta analysis of efficacy and safety of immunotherapy plus chemotherapy versus chemotherapy in non small cell lung cancer without EGFR or ALK alterations
摘要
Growing evidence suggests that immunotherapy (IM) benefits non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients without identified genetic alterations. This meta-analysis evaluates the efficacy and safety of combining IM + CH compared to chemotherapy (CH) alone or with a placebo in NSCLC patients lacking EGFR/ALK mutations and without prior systemic treatment.
MethodWe performed a comprehensive search in databases including PubMed, Scopus, Web of Science, Clinicaltrial.gov, and Cochrane Library. Statistical analysis was done using R 4.2.2, with heterogeneity assessed via the Cochrane Q test and I² statistic. Publication bias was checked using funnel plots and Egger’s regression test, with a p-value < 0.05 indicating significant asymmetry. A random-effects model was used to account for potential variability between studies. Subgroup analyses were conducted based on PD-L1 expression levels (< 1%, 1–49%, and ≥ 50%) to evaluate differential treatment effects. All statistical tests were two-sided, and a p-value < 0.05 was considered statistically significant.
ResultThis meta-analysis evaluates the impact of IM + CH compared to CH alone (or with placebo) on overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) across different PD-L1 expression levels. The findings indicate a significant survival advantage for combination therapy in the total population, with pooled hazard ratios (HRs) consistently below 1. OS showed a 32–36% reduction in the risk of death (HR: 0.6789, 95% CI: 0.6160–0.7482, p < 0.0001), while PFS demonstrated a 44% decrease in disease progression risk (HR: 0.5412, 95% CI: 0.4665–0.6280, p < 0.0001). Subgroup analyses confirmed survival benefits across all PD-L1 expression levels, with OS improvements of 30% (PD-L1 < 1%), 39% (PD-L1 1–49%), and 38% (PD-L1 ≥ 50%). Similarly, PFS benefits were observed in all subgroups, with the greatest effect in PD-L1 ≥ 50% (HR: 0.4113, 95% CI: 0.3325–0.5087, p < 0.0001), indicating a 59% reduction in progression risk. The risk of any grade adverse events (AEs) was comparable between IM + CH and CH alone (RR 1.0070, 95% CI: 0.9987–1.0155, p = 0.0986), while IM + CH significantly increased the risk of severe (grade ≥ 3) AEs (RR 1.1507, 95% CI: 1.0835–1.2221, p < 0.0001).
ConclusionThis meta-analysis provides strong evidence that IM combined with CH is a more effective treatment strategy than CH alone or with placebo for NSCLC patients without EGFR/ALK alterations, regardless of PD-L1 expression. The combination therapy consistently improved both OS and PFS across all patient subgroups, with greater benefits observed in those with higher PD-L1 expression. For any-grade AEs, the risk slightly increases with IM + CH, but the difference is not statistically significant. However, for grade ≥ 3 AEs, IM + CH significantly raises the risk compared to CH alone or with a placebo, highlighting the need for careful monitoring in clinical practice.