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<p>As urbanization advances in China, the dual household registration and land ownership systems create significant barriers to the permanent settlement of migrant workers, fostering a pattern of circular urban-rural migration. This study integrates life course theory with a resource endowment framework to analyze the dynamic land demand trajectories of migrant workers in Beijing. Using survey data and an instrumental variables (IV) approach, we find that migrants exhibit a distinct “pendulum-style” mobility, with their spatial focus shifting from urban to rural areas across the life course. The drivers of land demand are asymmetric: individual resources primarily determine urban housing demand, while household resources, particularly the homestead, anchor rural demand, functioning as a dynamic asset rather than a passive safety net. The influence of social resources is limited by institutional barriers. These findings reveal that migrants’ dual land demand is a rational adaptation to structural constraints. We conclude by recommending a dynamic, stage-specific land allocation mechanism to enhance land-use efficiency and support both sustainable urbanization and rural revitalization.</p>

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Urban-rural land demand trajectories of migrant workers across the life course

  • 期刊论文

  • 出版模式：

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  • 发表日期：

    2026年1月14日

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  • Yumeng Li,
  • Yujin Huang,
  • Yanyu Zhou,
  • Keke Hu,
  • Yujia Shan

摘要

As urbanization advances in China, the dual household registration and land ownership systems create significant barriers to the permanent settlement of migrant workers, fostering a pattern of circular urban-rural migration. This study integrates life course theory with a resource endowment framework to analyze the dynamic land demand trajectories of migrant workers in Beijing. Using survey data and an instrumental variables (IV) approach, we find that migrants exhibit a distinct “pendulum-style” mobility, with their spatial focus shifting from urban to rural areas across the life course. The drivers of land demand are asymmetric: individual resources primarily determine urban housing demand, while household resources, particularly the homestead, anchor rural demand, functioning as a dynamic asset rather than a passive safety net. The influence of social resources is limited by institutional barriers. These findings reveal that migrants’ dual land demand is a rational adaptation to structural constraints. We conclude by recommending a dynamic, stage-specific land allocation mechanism to enhance land-use efficiency and support both sustainable urbanization and rural revitalization.