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<p>Urban construction drives land use changes, often leading to conflicts that reveal inefficiencies in land use allocation. This study quantifies the intensity and spatial distribution of land use conflicts in the Wuhan Metropolitan Area (WMA) from 1990 to 2020 at the township (street) level, based on the classification of production-living-ecological spaces (PLES), and projects their dynamics under four development scenarios for 2030. Conflict intensity showed an overall upward trend, with core urban areas exhibiting persistent high-level conflicts, while mid-level conflicts dominated across the region. Among the scenarios, the ecological space priority scenario (Scenario 2) exhibited the lowest conflict intensity, highlighting the importance of ecological protection and zoning, whereas the comprehensive development scenario (Scenario 4) produced the highest intensity, indicating potential pressures from uncontrolled expansion of production and living spaces. These findings indicate that the WMA is gradually shifting toward a more balanced and sustainable spatial structure and provide quantitative guidance for land use planning and policy development.</p>

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Scenario-based simulation of changes in land use conflicts in Wuhan Metropolitan Area, China

  • 期刊论文

  • 出版模式：

    开放获取

  • 发表日期：

    2026年1月24日

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  • Yu Wang,
  • De Yu,
  • Luyi Tong,
  • Shougeng Hu

摘要

Urban construction drives land use changes, often leading to conflicts that reveal inefficiencies in land use allocation. This study quantifies the intensity and spatial distribution of land use conflicts in the Wuhan Metropolitan Area (WMA) from 1990 to 2020 at the township (street) level, based on the classification of production-living-ecological spaces (PLES), and projects their dynamics under four development scenarios for 2030. Conflict intensity showed an overall upward trend, with core urban areas exhibiting persistent high-level conflicts, while mid-level conflicts dominated across the region. Among the scenarios, the ecological space priority scenario (Scenario 2) exhibited the lowest conflict intensity, highlighting the importance of ecological protection and zoning, whereas the comprehensive development scenario (Scenario 4) produced the highest intensity, indicating potential pressures from uncontrolled expansion of production and living spaces. These findings indicate that the WMA is gradually shifting toward a more balanced and sustainable spatial structure and provide quantitative guidance for land use planning and policy development.