<p>Climate change poses significant challenges to global stability, particularly for African nations, which, despite contributing minimally to global emissions, face disproportionate climate impacts. This study evaluates the effectiveness of Long-Term Low Greenhouse Gas Emission Development Strategies (LT-LEDS) submitted by seven African countries, focusing on their alignment with the Paris Agreement’s net-zero emissions target by mid-century. A rigorous mixed-method approach was adopted, combining qualitative content analysis of the LT-LEDS documents with quantitative assessment through structured summary evaluation tables and a semantic interval scale scoring mechanism. These methods specifically identified the presence and comprehensiveness of strategic elements within LT-LEDS, while providing numerical scoring to objectively assess strategy effectiveness, clarity of targets, investment planning, and policy measures. The findings reveal considerable variation in the clarity and ambition of strategic goals and greenhouse gas (GHG) reduction targets among the assessed countries. Notably, fewer than half of the countries presented well-defined, actionable plans aligned with global climate commitments. Additionally, the study uncovered critical deficiencies, particularly in integrating socio-economic impacts and ensuring robust public consultation processes. These gaps highlight the urgent need for stronger legal frameworks and inclusive stakeholder engagement to enhance the implementation and effectiveness of LT-LEDS. Addressing these areas will significantly strengthen Africa’s contribution to global climate change mitigation and sustainable development efforts.</p>

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Investigating Africa’s decarbonization strategies: evaluating the pathway to net-zero by 2050–2060

  • Dare Ebenezer Olatunde,
  • Chima Cyril Hampo,
  • Abigail Pelumi Akinlawon,
  • Ogechukwu Benedicta Odobulu,
  • Bamidele James Afanwoubo

摘要

Climate change poses significant challenges to global stability, particularly for African nations, which, despite contributing minimally to global emissions, face disproportionate climate impacts. This study evaluates the effectiveness of Long-Term Low Greenhouse Gas Emission Development Strategies (LT-LEDS) submitted by seven African countries, focusing on their alignment with the Paris Agreement’s net-zero emissions target by mid-century. A rigorous mixed-method approach was adopted, combining qualitative content analysis of the LT-LEDS documents with quantitative assessment through structured summary evaluation tables and a semantic interval scale scoring mechanism. These methods specifically identified the presence and comprehensiveness of strategic elements within LT-LEDS, while providing numerical scoring to objectively assess strategy effectiveness, clarity of targets, investment planning, and policy measures. The findings reveal considerable variation in the clarity and ambition of strategic goals and greenhouse gas (GHG) reduction targets among the assessed countries. Notably, fewer than half of the countries presented well-defined, actionable plans aligned with global climate commitments. Additionally, the study uncovered critical deficiencies, particularly in integrating socio-economic impacts and ensuring robust public consultation processes. These gaps highlight the urgent need for stronger legal frameworks and inclusive stakeholder engagement to enhance the implementation and effectiveness of LT-LEDS. Addressing these areas will significantly strengthen Africa’s contribution to global climate change mitigation and sustainable development efforts.