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<p>Uganda is endowed with numerous tropical hardwoods, diverse animal species, abundant aquatic life, and a rich variety of bird species. Uganda experienced a significant decline in its virgin forests. Given the worrying level of deforestation, it is timely to assess some of its driving factors and impacts. As the world strives to achieve zero deforestation by 2030, it is crucial to understand the factors driving deforestation and forest degradation in Uganda. The primary objective of this study was to investigate the drivers and impacts of deforestation, including energy emissions, agriculture, and roundwood production. We utilised data from the Food and Agriculture Organisation of the United Nations covering the years 2004–2016. The study employed both multiple linear regression (MLR) and dynamic linear model (DLR) to study the variables influencing deforestation and forest degradation. The results indicated that both agriculture and energy emissions had a positive and highly significant effect on forest conversion. Forest production (roundwood) had a very highly significant negative impact on forest conversion. The study recommends policies that should help Uganda improve its agriculture to be efficient and optimal, and mitigate the large-scale destruction of virgin forests for cultivation and livestock. Furthermore, the government of Uganda should implement strict legislation on the use of roundwood, wood fuels, charcoal, and firewood to significantly reduce its heavy reliance on forests. Ceteris paribus, financial and fiscal policies could bridge the energy gap and improve agriculture, thereby achieving Sustainable Development Goals related to deforestation.</p>

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Drivers and impact of deforestation in the natural tropical rainforests of Uganda

  • 期刊论文

  • 出版模式：

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  • 发表日期：

    2025年12月11日

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  • Dastan Bamwesigye,
  • Evans Yeboah,
  • Dalibor Safarik,
  • Jitka Fialova,
  • Jitka Menhazova,
  • Seval Ozbalci,
  • Obed Asamoah

摘要

Uganda is endowed with numerous tropical hardwoods, diverse animal species, abundant aquatic life, and a rich variety of bird species. Uganda experienced a significant decline in its virgin forests. Given the worrying level of deforestation, it is timely to assess some of its driving factors and impacts. As the world strives to achieve zero deforestation by 2030, it is crucial to understand the factors driving deforestation and forest degradation in Uganda. The primary objective of this study was to investigate the drivers and impacts of deforestation, including energy emissions, agriculture, and roundwood production. We utilised data from the Food and Agriculture Organisation of the United Nations covering the years 2004–2016. The study employed both multiple linear regression (MLR) and dynamic linear model (DLR) to study the variables influencing deforestation and forest degradation. The results indicated that both agriculture and energy emissions had a positive and highly significant effect on forest conversion. Forest production (roundwood) had a very highly significant negative impact on forest conversion. The study recommends policies that should help Uganda improve its agriculture to be efficient and optimal, and mitigate the large-scale destruction of virgin forests for cultivation and livestock. Furthermore, the government of Uganda should implement strict legislation on the use of roundwood, wood fuels, charcoal, and firewood to significantly reduce its heavy reliance on forests. Ceteris paribus, financial and fiscal policies could bridge the energy gap and improve agriculture, thereby achieving Sustainable Development Goals related to deforestation.