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<p>Amid rapid structural transitions, the Visegrád region (Czechia, Hungary, Poland, Slovakia) faces urgent challenges in linking circular economy (CE) advances with social sustainability (SS). This study investigates patterns between circular economy practices and social outcomes across Eurostat data (2014–2023) for the region. Results show mixed progress: municipal waste generation is projected to rise moderately, reaching 1500&#xa0;kg per capita by 2030, while the average circular material use rate is expected to remain modest at 3.6%. In contrast, recycling rates are forecasted to grow substantially, rising from 22% to 37–40% by 2030. However, material import dependency remains stable at approximately 39%. Social indicators demonstrate positive outlooks: regional social protection expenditure is forecasted to reach ~ 18,500 PPS per inhabitant by 2030, while annual net earnings are projected to reach €18,000 by 2030, representing a 260% increase. However, the gender pay gap remains persistent at 13–14% across the region, declining minimally to 13% by 2030. Distinct associations are observed, such as higher circular material use correlating positively with both social protection and health expenditure. Regional comparisons identify Czechia as a consistent leader (indices up to 0.74 for circular economy; 0.68 for social sustainability), while Hungary lags (indices as low as 0.20/0.19). These findings highlight the need to embed equity, gender inclusion, and targeted social investment within circular economy policies. Insights support integrated strategies for tackling persistent waste and healthcare challenges, expanding monitoring, and promoting inclusive green jobs toward a more equitable and sustainable future in the Visegrád region.</p>

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Cross-Domain modeling of circular economy and social sustainability transitions in the Visegrád region

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  • 发表日期：

    2025年12月29日

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  • Mohammad Fazle Rabbi

摘要

Amid rapid structural transitions, the Visegrád region (Czechia, Hungary, Poland, Slovakia) faces urgent challenges in linking circular economy (CE) advances with social sustainability (SS). This study investigates patterns between circular economy practices and social outcomes across Eurostat data (2014–2023) for the region. Results show mixed progress: municipal waste generation is projected to rise moderately, reaching 1500 kg per capita by 2030, while the average circular material use rate is expected to remain modest at 3.6%. In contrast, recycling rates are forecasted to grow substantially, rising from 22% to 37–40% by 2030. However, material import dependency remains stable at approximately 39%. Social indicators demonstrate positive outlooks: regional social protection expenditure is forecasted to reach ~ 18,500 PPS per inhabitant by 2030, while annual net earnings are projected to reach €18,000 by 2030, representing a 260% increase. However, the gender pay gap remains persistent at 13–14% across the region, declining minimally to 13% by 2030. Distinct associations are observed, such as higher circular material use correlating positively with both social protection and health expenditure. Regional comparisons identify Czechia as a consistent leader (indices up to 0.74 for circular economy; 0.68 for social sustainability), while Hungary lags (indices as low as 0.20/0.19). These findings highlight the need to embed equity, gender inclusion, and targeted social investment within circular economy policies. Insights support integrated strategies for tackling persistent waste and healthcare challenges, expanding monitoring, and promoting inclusive green jobs toward a more equitable and sustainable future in the Visegrád region.