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<p>The Sahel region of Africa faces severe challenges in achieving food security, with the World Food Programme identifying Mali, Chad, Niger, and Burkina Faso as major hunger hotspots. Despite the Comprehensive Africa Agriculture Development Programme (CAADP) aiming to enhance food security across the continent, the region’s distinct challenges—including political instability and climate vulnerabilities—pose significant barriers to achieving these objectives. This study investigates the effectiveness of CAADP in improving food security within the Sahel region. Analyzing climatic, political, and economic data from 1990 to 2022, the study employs a Difference-in-Differences (DiD) model augmented by a random forest analysis. The findings reveal that none of the five Sahelian countries have made significant progress toward CAADP targets, with Mali demonstrating the highest commitment at just 46%. Carbon emissions emerged as the most influential factor (dominance score: 0.72) surpassing CAADP-related indicators. The study concludes that the pervasive impact of climate change, coupled with structural barriers, has severely hindered CAADP’s effectiveness in improving food security within the Sahel region. To address these challenges, CAADP must integrate climate-smart strategies such as sustainable farming, agroforestry, carbon sequestration, drought-resistant crops, improved irrigation, and soil conservation. However, sustainable food security in the Sahel requires more than technical solutions—it demands stronger governance, climate-responsive financing, and digital agricultural innovations. Regional bodies, governments, and development partners must collaborate to scale these interventions through national policies and regional frameworks. Embedding resilience-driven reforms within CAADP can foster a more adaptive, climate-conscious, and food-secure Sahel.</p>

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Assessing CAADP’s role in food security: strategies for the climate-conflict stricken Sahel

  • 期刊论文

  • 出版模式：

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  • 发表日期：

    2025年7月29日

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  • Idowu Oluwasayo Ayodeji

摘要

The Sahel region of Africa faces severe challenges in achieving food security, with the World Food Programme identifying Mali, Chad, Niger, and Burkina Faso as major hunger hotspots. Despite the Comprehensive Africa Agriculture Development Programme (CAADP) aiming to enhance food security across the continent, the region’s distinct challenges—including political instability and climate vulnerabilities—pose significant barriers to achieving these objectives. This study investigates the effectiveness of CAADP in improving food security within the Sahel region. Analyzing climatic, political, and economic data from 1990 to 2022, the study employs a Difference-in-Differences (DiD) model augmented by a random forest analysis. The findings reveal that none of the five Sahelian countries have made significant progress toward CAADP targets, with Mali demonstrating the highest commitment at just 46%. Carbon emissions emerged as the most influential factor (dominance score: 0.72) surpassing CAADP-related indicators. The study concludes that the pervasive impact of climate change, coupled with structural barriers, has severely hindered CAADP’s effectiveness in improving food security within the Sahel region. To address these challenges, CAADP must integrate climate-smart strategies such as sustainable farming, agroforestry, carbon sequestration, drought-resistant crops, improved irrigation, and soil conservation. However, sustainable food security in the Sahel requires more than technical solutions—it demands stronger governance, climate-responsive financing, and digital agricultural innovations. Regional bodies, governments, and development partners must collaborate to scale these interventions through national policies and regional frameworks. Embedding resilience-driven reforms within CAADP can foster a more adaptive, climate-conscious, and food-secure Sahel.