Births to Mexican Women in the First Two Years of the COVID-19 Pandemic
摘要
In this article, we examine the impact of the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic on women's reproductive patterns and discuss the influence of different demographic characteristics, including age, parity, marital status, and education on the fertility transition process in Mexico. This allows us to consider the heterogeneity of the impact of the pandemic on Mexican women's reproductive decisions. We use a descriptive approach and utilize data from the Birth Information Subsystem. The analysis includes births from October 2020 to October 2022, which includes conceptions from January 2020 to January 2022. Using a counterfactual analysis, we show that the global spread of the SARS-CoV-2 virus has exacerbated the previous downward trend in births. This downward trend was particularly evident during the initial months of the pandemic and seems to have stabilized after the start of the vaccination campaign, suggesting the possibility of a modest recovery in postponed births. The impact of the pandemic on births in Mexico was largely short-term. Significant disparities by characteristics of women are observed, with responses to the pandemic differing by age, parity, marital status and schooling. We discuss the implications of these patterns for accentuating inequalities.