<p>Designing aerospace vehicles demands accurate prediction of various aerodynamic coefficients, but Computational Fluid Dynamic (CFD) based simulations are often computationally expensive and time-consuming. As demand for more efficient and expedited design processes in aerospace engineering rises, alternative solutions are in high demand. This study proposes a novel approach for predicting the drag coefficient (Cd) of a rocket nosecone using several Machine Learning (ML) techniques trained on CFD-generated data. Four regression models—Random Forest, Decision Tree, Support Vector Regression (SVR), and Polynomial Regression—are evaluated using 200 simulation-based data points across Mach 0 to 1. The models were subsequently compared and assessed using important performance metrics, including mean absolute error (MAE), coefficient of determination (<i>R</i><sup>2</sup>), explained variance score (EVS), and root mean square error (RMSE). Results show that the Random Forest model achieves the highest predictive accuracy with an <i>R</i><sup>2</sup> value of 0.9863 and lowest RMSE of 0.0031. This method significantly reduces analysis time while maintaining high reliability, offering a scalable alternative to conventional CFD for preliminary aerodynamic design. The findings establish a pathway for incorporating ML tools into real-world aerospace workflows to optimize performance and resource use.</p>

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Machine Learning Methods for Design and Analysis of a Rocket Nosecone

  • Muhammad Ibraheem,
  • Awais Ahmad Khan,
  • Muhammad Kamran Saleem,
  • Mujtaba Rashid,
  • Muhammad Subhan Tariq

摘要

Designing aerospace vehicles demands accurate prediction of various aerodynamic coefficients, but Computational Fluid Dynamic (CFD) based simulations are often computationally expensive and time-consuming. As demand for more efficient and expedited design processes in aerospace engineering rises, alternative solutions are in high demand. This study proposes a novel approach for predicting the drag coefficient (Cd) of a rocket nosecone using several Machine Learning (ML) techniques trained on CFD-generated data. Four regression models—Random Forest, Decision Tree, Support Vector Regression (SVR), and Polynomial Regression—are evaluated using 200 simulation-based data points across Mach 0 to 1. The models were subsequently compared and assessed using important performance metrics, including mean absolute error (MAE), coefficient of determination (R2), explained variance score (EVS), and root mean square error (RMSE). Results show that the Random Forest model achieves the highest predictive accuracy with an R2 value of 0.9863 and lowest RMSE of 0.0031. This method significantly reduces analysis time while maintaining high reliability, offering a scalable alternative to conventional CFD for preliminary aerodynamic design. The findings establish a pathway for incorporating ML tools into real-world aerospace workflows to optimize performance and resource use.