<p>East Asian societies are undergoing unprecedented demographic shifts characterized by rapidly aging populations and record-low fertility rates. These trends are rooted in unique cultural legacies and historical trajectories, posing urgent contemporary challenges to economic stability and social welfare. Traditional Confucian family values – emphasizing filial piety, intergenerational support, and gendered family roles – have long shaped demographic behaviors in the region (Cheng, <CitationRef CitationID="CR1">2020</CitationRef>). However, rapid industrialization and social change have led to dramatically reduced birth rates and extended life expectancies, resulting in shrinking workforces and growing elderly cohorts. For instance, China’s prolonged low fertility has caused its population to enter negative growth since 2022 (Qiao, <CitationRef CitationID="CR7">2024</CitationRef>), while Japan has become the world’s most aged society with nearly one-third of its population over 65 (Liu et al., <CitationRef CitationID="CR4">2024</CitationRef>). These developments present critical challenges, including increased pressure on pension systems, heavier eldercare burdens, and potential economic stagnation. This commentary examines how cultural legacies have influenced East Asia’s demographic transition, analyzes current challenges of low fertility and aging, and discusses strategic policy responses. East Asian governments are experimenting with pronatalist incentives, social policy reforms, and adaptive strategies to mitigate demographic risks. The success of these responses will shape not only the future of East Asia but also offer valuable lessons for other regions facing similar demographic transitions.</p>

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Demographic change in East Asia: cultural legacies, contemporary challenges, and strategic responses

  • Myung Jin Hwang

摘要

East Asian societies are undergoing unprecedented demographic shifts characterized by rapidly aging populations and record-low fertility rates. These trends are rooted in unique cultural legacies and historical trajectories, posing urgent contemporary challenges to economic stability and social welfare. Traditional Confucian family values – emphasizing filial piety, intergenerational support, and gendered family roles – have long shaped demographic behaviors in the region (Cheng, 2020). However, rapid industrialization and social change have led to dramatically reduced birth rates and extended life expectancies, resulting in shrinking workforces and growing elderly cohorts. For instance, China’s prolonged low fertility has caused its population to enter negative growth since 2022 (Qiao, 2024), while Japan has become the world’s most aged society with nearly one-third of its population over 65 (Liu et al., 2024). These developments present critical challenges, including increased pressure on pension systems, heavier eldercare burdens, and potential economic stagnation. This commentary examines how cultural legacies have influenced East Asia’s demographic transition, analyzes current challenges of low fertility and aging, and discusses strategic policy responses. East Asian governments are experimenting with pronatalist incentives, social policy reforms, and adaptive strategies to mitigate demographic risks. The success of these responses will shape not only the future of East Asia but also offer valuable lessons for other regions facing similar demographic transitions.