A Knowledge-Enhanced Modular Method for Predicting Electric Vehicle Remaining Driving Range under Cold Conditions Utilizing Cloud-Based Big Data
摘要
Under cold conditions, the driving range of electric vehicles decreases significantly, and inaccuracies in the displayed remaining driving range (RDR) exacerbate range anxiety. This study proposes a knowledge-enhanced hierarchical framework that breaks down the RDR estimation problem into the prediction of energy consumption rate and effective energy coefficient. Both modules employ deep learning as their core models, using data sourced from a cloud-based big data platform with a focus on cold regions in Northeast China. To address real-world driving scenarios, the energy consumption rate module uses a switching mechanism: a base model, using region-specific collaborative features as inputs, is applied in the early stages of trips, while a sequential neural network is used in the later stages. The effective energy coefficient module incorporates battery degradation and environmental factors, correcting discrepancies in nominal battery energy under low-temperature and aging conditions. The model’s performance is validated using real-world data from 8 electric vehicles under cold conditions, demonstrating a 15–20% improvement in prediction accuracy over traditional methods, thereby enhancing RDR accuracy and reliability.