<p>Fertility convergence, a potential outcome during fertility transition, has been examined in previous studies primarily through conventional convergence tests within Indian states. However, the recent rise of the ‘club-convergence hypothesis’ in convergence studies paves the way for studying the club convergence pattern of fertility. Therefore, this study aims to find the club convergence of fertility rates across Indian states. Our findings reveal that although not all states converge, two convergence clubs emerge alongside some divergent states. Further, we find the determinants of forming such convergence clubs, where we conclude factors such as the adoption of family planning methods, mean years of the first marriage of women, and wealth inequality significantly impact the formation of higher order convergence clubs.</p>

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Do fertility rates converge? empirical evidence from Indian states

  • Debajit Jha,
  • Jeet Saha

摘要

Fertility convergence, a potential outcome during fertility transition, has been examined in previous studies primarily through conventional convergence tests within Indian states. However, the recent rise of the ‘club-convergence hypothesis’ in convergence studies paves the way for studying the club convergence pattern of fertility. Therefore, this study aims to find the club convergence of fertility rates across Indian states. Our findings reveal that although not all states converge, two convergence clubs emerge alongside some divergent states. Further, we find the determinants of forming such convergence clubs, where we conclude factors such as the adoption of family planning methods, mean years of the first marriage of women, and wealth inequality significantly impact the formation of higher order convergence clubs.