<p>This research introduces a novel spatial downscaling and correction framework designed to produce historical seasonal and annual precipitation estimates at high spatial resolution under data-scarce conditions. This is crucial for climatologists and water resource managers seeking to understand the annual precipitation cycle at the basin scale. Leveraging a weighted deep neural network (DNN) model, denoted as <InlineEquation ID="IEq1"> <EquationSource Format="TEX">\({DNN}_{w}\)</EquationSource> </InlineEquation>, in conjunction with the Kolmogorov–Smirnov normality test, the framework aims to capture intricate precipitation patterns at a finer scale within the humid southern region of mainland China. By integrating geospatial and environmental predictors into <InlineEquation ID="IEq2"> <EquationSource Format="TEX">\({DNN}_{w}\)</EquationSource> </InlineEquation>, the high-resolution precipitation data (0.01° × 0.01°) is derived from the Global Precipitation Mission’s (GPM’s) coarser Integrated Multi-satellitE Retrievals for GPM (IMERG) dataset (0.1° × 0.1°). The correction process involves a two-step strategy: (1) validating the downscaled <InlineEquation ID="IEq3"> <EquationSource Format="TEX">\({DNN}_{w}\)</EquationSource> </InlineEquation> (<InlineEquation ID="IEq4"> <EquationSource Format="TEX">\({DNN}_{dw}\)</EquationSource> </InlineEquation>) against a limited number of rain gauge (<i>n</i> = 5) data, and (2) establishing a relationship between the resampled <InlineEquation ID="IEq5"> <EquationSource Format="TEX">\({DNN}_{dw}\)</EquationSource> </InlineEquation> at varying resolutions and the validated data using statistical tests. Notably, the 1.25° × 1.25° resolution exhibits the strongest agreement with the rain gauge-verified data. Regression equations derived from this relationship are then applied to enhance and reconstruct the downscaled data, resulting in the corrected <InlineEquation ID="IEq6"> <EquationSource Format="TEX">\({DNN}_{dw}\)</EquationSource> </InlineEquation> (<InlineEquation ID="IEq7"> <EquationSource Format="TEX">\({DNN}_{cdw}\)</EquationSource> </InlineEquation>) outperforming comparative models. This adaptable framework shows great potential for generating high-resolution precipitation data in data-scarce environments, providing a robust solution for a variety of climatic conditions and water resource management applications, such as irrigation planning, reservoir management, and long-term water availability studies.</p> Graphical Abstract <p>This research develops an advanced framework that transforms coarse-resolution GPM IMERG satellite precipitation data (0.1° × 0.1°) into high-resolution estimates (0.01° × 0.01°) for data-scarce regions in humid southern China. The innovative approach combines a weighted deep neural network (<i>DNN</i><sub>w</sub>) with key high resolution predictors (i.e., geospatial and environmental) to achieve high accuracy (r² &gt;0.9999, RMSE &lt; 2 mm). The framework's two-stepped process first downscales the data using<i> DNN</i><sub>w</sub>, then applies a rigorous statistical correction validated against limited ground observations (n = 5 rain gauges). The Kolmogorov-Smirnov test identifies 1.25° × 1.25° resolution as optimal for calibration (p-value 0.44–0.77), ensuring reliable correction across all temporal scales. The final corrected product (<i>DNN</i><sub>cdw</sub>) significantly outperforms conventional models while maintaining computational efficiency. The study's key innovation lies in its ability to generate regional-scale precipitation estimates with remarkable precision despite minimal ground data, addressing a critical challenge in water resource management. The framework's adaptability makes it particularly valuable for practical applications including irrigation scheduling, reservoir operations, and long-term water availability assessments. Latitude emerges as the most influential predictor, demonstrating the method's sensitivity to geographic factors. Validation results confirm the approach's robustness, with consistently high correlation to in-situ measurements across monthly, seasonal and annual timescales. This advancement represents a significant leap in precipitation mapping technology, offering water managers and climatologists an unprecedented tool for decision-making in data-limited environments. The framework's modular design allows for future expansion to other climatic regions, promising global applicability.</p> <p></p>

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Enhancing Fine-Resolution Precipitation Estimates in Data-Scarce Regions: A Novel Spatial Downscaling and Correction Framework

  • Sana Ullah,
  • Naeem Shahzad,
  • Lei Yan,
  • Zhengkang Zuo,
  • Imran Iqbal,
  • Mohammad Javed Tareen

摘要

This research introduces a novel spatial downscaling and correction framework designed to produce historical seasonal and annual precipitation estimates at high spatial resolution under data-scarce conditions. This is crucial for climatologists and water resource managers seeking to understand the annual precipitation cycle at the basin scale. Leveraging a weighted deep neural network (DNN) model, denoted as \({DNN}_{w}\) , in conjunction with the Kolmogorov–Smirnov normality test, the framework aims to capture intricate precipitation patterns at a finer scale within the humid southern region of mainland China. By integrating geospatial and environmental predictors into \({DNN}_{w}\) , the high-resolution precipitation data (0.01° × 0.01°) is derived from the Global Precipitation Mission’s (GPM’s) coarser Integrated Multi-satellitE Retrievals for GPM (IMERG) dataset (0.1° × 0.1°). The correction process involves a two-step strategy: (1) validating the downscaled \({DNN}_{w}\) ( \({DNN}_{dw}\) ) against a limited number of rain gauge (n = 5) data, and (2) establishing a relationship between the resampled \({DNN}_{dw}\) at varying resolutions and the validated data using statistical tests. Notably, the 1.25° × 1.25° resolution exhibits the strongest agreement with the rain gauge-verified data. Regression equations derived from this relationship are then applied to enhance and reconstruct the downscaled data, resulting in the corrected \({DNN}_{dw}\) ( \({DNN}_{cdw}\) ) outperforming comparative models. This adaptable framework shows great potential for generating high-resolution precipitation data in data-scarce environments, providing a robust solution for a variety of climatic conditions and water resource management applications, such as irrigation planning, reservoir management, and long-term water availability studies.

Graphical Abstract

This research develops an advanced framework that transforms coarse-resolution GPM IMERG satellite precipitation data (0.1° × 0.1°) into high-resolution estimates (0.01° × 0.01°) for data-scarce regions in humid southern China. The innovative approach combines a weighted deep neural network (DNNw) with key high resolution predictors (i.e., geospatial and environmental) to achieve high accuracy (r² >0.9999, RMSE < 2 mm). The framework's two-stepped process first downscales the data using DNNw, then applies a rigorous statistical correction validated against limited ground observations (n = 5 rain gauges). The Kolmogorov-Smirnov test identifies 1.25° × 1.25° resolution as optimal for calibration (p-value 0.44–0.77), ensuring reliable correction across all temporal scales. The final corrected product (DNNcdw) significantly outperforms conventional models while maintaining computational efficiency. The study's key innovation lies in its ability to generate regional-scale precipitation estimates with remarkable precision despite minimal ground data, addressing a critical challenge in water resource management. The framework's adaptability makes it particularly valuable for practical applications including irrigation scheduling, reservoir operations, and long-term water availability assessments. Latitude emerges as the most influential predictor, demonstrating the method's sensitivity to geographic factors. Validation results confirm the approach's robustness, with consistently high correlation to in-situ measurements across monthly, seasonal and annual timescales. This advancement represents a significant leap in precipitation mapping technology, offering water managers and climatologists an unprecedented tool for decision-making in data-limited environments. The framework's modular design allows for future expansion to other climatic regions, promising global applicability.