Urbanization-Induced Land Use Dynamics and Its Impacts on Present and Future Urban Ecosystem Services in the Industrial Cities of India

The rapid changes of urbanization-induced land use and land cover (LULC) make impacts on ecological landscape which directly or indirectly effects on ecosystem service values (ESVs). Thus, this study investigated the impacts of LULC dynamics on ESVs and their present and future spatial association in the Asansol Municipal Corporation Region (AMCR). To analysis the result, first assessed the LULC and its transformation using the geospatial techniques and machine learning methods. Then, the LULC used to predict the further changes based on the current trend (2011 to 2021) using Cellular automata- Markov chain (CA-MC) model for LULC. Similarly, this process adopted in the estimation of the ESVs and its functional contribution with correspondence of coefficient with sensitivity (CS). Results indicated a decline in ESVs from $9.81 million hectares in 2001 to 2021, with a projected decrease to $9.011 million hectares by 2031. A favorable association between LULC and ESVs was found through spatial analysis utilizing geographical weighted regression (GWR) models and ordinary least squares (OLS), especially in peripheral locations. Finally, this study has recommended sustainable ecosystem planning by promoting urban green-space and blue-space as well as conservation the natural landscape alongside the urban land use planning for future sustainable practice promotion.