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<p>Trade dynamics within Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP) regions shift from globalization to regionalization, thus a comprehensive understanding of the emission dynamics associated with internal versus external exports is critical. This study employed structural decomposition analysis to examine the drivers of emissions embodied in exports (EEE) originating from within and destined for beyond RCEP from 2010 to 2019. Results showed that internal EEE growth was primarily driven by demand effects, while external EEE declines were mainly due to reductions in carbon intensity. Technology spillovers through external trade reduced emissions in middle- and high-income countries, whereas internal trade increased emissions in low-income countries due to pollution haven effects. Intra-RCEP trade also enhanced production efficiency when compared to external or purely domestic trade. External demand was predominantly characterized by household consumption, while internal demand driven by investment and government spending. These findings underscore the need for policies that promote the diffusion of clean technologies, regional integration and greener investment, as well as the implementation of stricter emission controls in low-income regions to effectively mitigate emissions amid evolving trade patterns within the RCEP framework.</p>

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Carbon emissions embodied in exports from regional comprehensive economic partnership member countries: perspectives on internal and external dynamics

  • 期刊论文

  • 发表日期：

    2025年8月14日

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  • Hong Chen,
  • Abdul Rais Abdul Latiff,
  • Soo Y. Chua

摘要

Trade dynamics within Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP) regions shift from globalization to regionalization, thus a comprehensive understanding of the emission dynamics associated with internal versus external exports is critical. This study employed structural decomposition analysis to examine the drivers of emissions embodied in exports (EEE) originating from within and destined for beyond RCEP from 2010 to 2019. Results showed that internal EEE growth was primarily driven by demand effects, while external EEE declines were mainly due to reductions in carbon intensity. Technology spillovers through external trade reduced emissions in middle- and high-income countries, whereas internal trade increased emissions in low-income countries due to pollution haven effects. Intra-RCEP trade also enhanced production efficiency when compared to external or purely domestic trade. External demand was predominantly characterized by household consumption, while internal demand driven by investment and government spending. These findings underscore the need for policies that promote the diffusion of clean technologies, regional integration and greener investment, as well as the implementation of stricter emission controls in low-income regions to effectively mitigate emissions amid evolving trade patterns within the RCEP framework.