<p>The objective of this study is to assess the economic feasibility of Blue Ammonia (Blue-NH<InlineEquation ID="IEq1"> <EquationSource Format="TEX">\(_3\)</EquationSource> </InlineEquation>) and Green Ammonia (Green-NH<InlineEquation ID="IEq2"> <EquationSource Format="TEX">\(_3\)</EquationSource> </InlineEquation>) across two regional contexts: the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) and Europe. The study develops a techno-economic model to evaluate four distinct production pathways: (1) Blue-NH<InlineEquation ID="IEq3"> <EquationSource Format="TEX">\(_3\)</EquationSource> </InlineEquation> produced in the United Arab Emirates (UAE) and shipped to Germany, (2) Green-NH<InlineEquation ID="IEq4"> <EquationSource Format="TEX">\(_3\)</EquationSource> </InlineEquation> produced in the UAE and shipped to Germany, (3) domestically produced Blue-NH<InlineEquation ID="IEq5"> <EquationSource Format="TEX">\(_3\)</EquationSource> </InlineEquation> in Germany, and (4) domestically produced Green-NH<InlineEquation ID="IEq6"> <EquationSource Format="TEX">\(_3\)</EquationSource> </InlineEquation> in Germany. The objective of this modeling approach is to quantify how variations in energy resource prices and production routes affect the overall cost structure of clean ammonia. The results of this study show that imported Blue-NH<InlineEquation ID="IEq7"> <EquationSource Format="TEX">\(_3\)</EquationSource> </InlineEquation> from the UAE yields the lowest cost at 837&#xa0;USD/t-NH<InlineEquation ID="IEq8"> <EquationSource Format="TEX">\(_3\)</EquationSource> </InlineEquation>, followed by Green-NH<InlineEquation ID="IEq9"> <EquationSource Format="TEX">\(_3\)</EquationSource> </InlineEquation> imports at 971&#xa0;USD/t-NH<InlineEquation ID="IEq10"> <EquationSource Format="TEX">\(_3\)</EquationSource> </InlineEquation>. In contrast, domestic German production results in significantly higher costs of 1,416&#xa0;USD/t-NH<InlineEquation ID="IEq11"> <EquationSource Format="TEX">\(_3\)</EquationSource> </InlineEquation> for Blue-NH<InlineEquation ID="IEq12"> <EquationSource Format="TEX">\(_3\)</EquationSource> </InlineEquation> and 2,540&#xa0;USD/t-NH<InlineEquation ID="IEq13"> <EquationSource Format="TEX">\(_3\)</EquationSource> </InlineEquation> for Green-NH<InlineEquation ID="IEq14"> <EquationSource Format="TEX">\(_3\)</EquationSource> </InlineEquation>. The sensitivity analysis indicates that electricity and natural gas prices are the dominant cost drivers, while shipping costs have a minor influence. The findings of this study highlight the advantage of energy-abundant regions in exporting low-carbon fuels and provide a quantitative basis for future policy and investment decisions related to international ammonia trade.</p>

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Comparative Economic Assessment of Green and Blue Ammonia: Imports vs. Domestic Production in Europe

  • Issa Zaiter,
  • Ahmad Mayyas,
  • Raed Jaradat

摘要

The objective of this study is to assess the economic feasibility of Blue Ammonia (Blue-NH \(_3\) ) and Green Ammonia (Green-NH \(_3\) ) across two regional contexts: the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) and Europe. The study develops a techno-economic model to evaluate four distinct production pathways: (1) Blue-NH \(_3\) produced in the United Arab Emirates (UAE) and shipped to Germany, (2) Green-NH \(_3\) produced in the UAE and shipped to Germany, (3) domestically produced Blue-NH \(_3\) in Germany, and (4) domestically produced Green-NH \(_3\) in Germany. The objective of this modeling approach is to quantify how variations in energy resource prices and production routes affect the overall cost structure of clean ammonia. The results of this study show that imported Blue-NH \(_3\) from the UAE yields the lowest cost at 837 USD/t-NH \(_3\) , followed by Green-NH \(_3\) imports at 971 USD/t-NH \(_3\) . In contrast, domestic German production results in significantly higher costs of 1,416 USD/t-NH \(_3\) for Blue-NH \(_3\) and 2,540 USD/t-NH \(_3\) for Green-NH \(_3\) . The sensitivity analysis indicates that electricity and natural gas prices are the dominant cost drivers, while shipping costs have a minor influence. The findings of this study highlight the advantage of energy-abundant regions in exporting low-carbon fuels and provide a quantitative basis for future policy and investment decisions related to international ammonia trade.