Agent-Based Modeling Under Climate Uncertainties: The Coastal Resilience (CRes-ABM) Model
摘要
The Coastal Resilience Agent-Based Model (CRes-ABM) is introduced, which was created to evaluate the resilience of coastal areas to the effects of climate change, with a particular emphasis on sea-level rise and extreme weather events. The aim is to provide information for developing policies and making decisions about boosting coastal resilience. CRes-ABM simulates stakeholder interactions and adaptation responses within coastal communities by integrating agent-based modeling techniques, geospatial data, and climate change scenarios. On the basis of the CResI index and the effect of adaptation strategies (CResI_adapt), CRes-ABM produces vulnerability-resilience maps. A variety of parameters are used to monitor agent decisions throughout each simulation. We compare the outcomes using historical data (1976–2005) and two custom climate change scenarios (2041–2100). A thorough framework for comprehending and addressing issues related to coastal resilience is provided by CRes-ABM, which makes it easier to make evidence-based decisions about successful adaptation measures. The structure of CRes-ABM allows it to be applied to various coastal regions worldwide, enabling the evaluation of resilience across different geographic, climatic, and socio-economic contexts.