Modeling the role of environmental contamination and non-human primates in the transmission dynamics of Marburg virus disease
摘要
Marburg virus disease is a highly virulent zoonotic infection, characterized by sporadic outbreaks and high mortality rates posing a significant public health threat. Despite strong evidence that MVD is zoonotic, the roles of non-human primates and contaminated environments in its transmission dynamics remain under-explored. This study investigates the role of environmental contamination and non-human primates in the transmission dynamics of MVD. A deterministic mathematical model incorporating humans, bats, monkeys, and environmental viral loads is employed to analyze MVD transmission. The basic reproduction number (