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Introduction <p>Hypertension, frequently found in the population aged 60 years or older, is associated with multiple cardiovascular diseases (CVDs). BRICS-plus countries (Egypt, Ethiopia, Iran, Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa) account for over 40% of global population and are undergoing rapid economic development and population growth. The burden of CVDs attributable to hypertension in the elderly population of BRICS-plus remains uncharted.</p> Aim <p>To Explore the burden of CVDs attributable to hypertension in the elderly population in BRICS-plus.</p> Methods <p>Deaths and disability adjusted life years (DALYs) were used as indices of the burden of CVDs attributable to hypertension. This burden was investigated using joinpoint regression, age-period-cohort, and Nordpred analysis.</p> Results <p>Age-standardized DALYs rate and age-standardized mortality rate declined in Russia after 2002, but fluctuating in United Arab Emirates after 2003. The average age-standardized DALYs rate of stroke, ischemic heart disease (IHD), and hypertensive heart disease (HHD) had anisotropic features for nations (China: 58.02%, Russia: 54.64%, and Ethiopia: 37.81%) from 1990 to 2021.</p> Conclusion <p>The burden of CVDs attributable to hypertension in the elderly population from 1990 to 2021 in aging countries shows different decline trends. Egypt has the highest burden in none-aging countries. The United Arab Emirates remains elusive because the elderly female population has remained at a relatively low level. HHD, IHD, and stroke account for the highest proportion in Ethiopia, Russia, and China.</p>

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Burden of Cardiovascular Diseases Attributable to Hypertension in Population Aged 60 Years or Older from 1990 to 2040 across BRICS-plus Countries (Egypt, Ethiopia, Iran, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates, Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa)

  • 期刊论文

  • 发表日期：

    2025年10月13日

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  • Hongrui Zhang,
  • Bin Wang,
  • Jiake Guo,
  • Yichen Liu,
  • Zhuoshuai Liang,
  • Xiaoyang Li,
  • Ruofei Li,
  • Yuyang Tian,
  • Shuan Qiu,
  • Yong Li,
  • Yulu Gu,
  • Huan He,
  • Yichun Qiao,
  • Siyu Liu,
  • Yunkai Liu,
  • Yi Cheng,
  • Yawen Liu

摘要

Introduction

Hypertension, frequently found in the population aged 60 years or older, is associated with multiple cardiovascular diseases (CVDs). BRICS-plus countries (Egypt, Ethiopia, Iran, Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa) account for over 40% of global population and are undergoing rapid economic development and population growth. The burden of CVDs attributable to hypertension in the elderly population of BRICS-plus remains uncharted.

Aim

To Explore the burden of CVDs attributable to hypertension in the elderly population in BRICS-plus.

Methods

Deaths and disability adjusted life years (DALYs) were used as indices of the burden of CVDs attributable to hypertension. This burden was investigated using joinpoint regression, age-period-cohort, and Nordpred analysis.

Results

Age-standardized DALYs rate and age-standardized mortality rate declined in Russia after 2002, but fluctuating in United Arab Emirates after 2003. The average age-standardized DALYs rate of stroke, ischemic heart disease (IHD), and hypertensive heart disease (HHD) had anisotropic features for nations (China: 58.02%, Russia: 54.64%, and Ethiopia: 37.81%) from 1990 to 2021.

Conclusion

The burden of CVDs attributable to hypertension in the elderly population from 1990 to 2021 in aging countries shows different decline trends. Egypt has the highest burden in none-aging countries. The United Arab Emirates remains elusive because the elderly female population has remained at a relatively low level. HHD, IHD, and stroke account for the highest proportion in Ethiopia, Russia, and China.