Termite Mount Inspired Self-Healing Framework Integrated Solar Photovoltaic Power Forecasting Model using Attention-based Peephole Connected GRU NN
摘要
This paper presents a novel self-healing (SH) framework for Solar Photovoltaic Power (SPVP) forecasting using an Attention-based Peephole connected Gated Recurrent Unit Neural Network (A-PGRU NN). Inspired by the natural healing behaviour of termites to maintain their mounds with the help of coordinated teamwork, the proposed Termite Mount-Inspired Neural Network Self-Healing Improved Algorithm (TMNN-SHA) model autonomously detects and recovers from disruptions in the neural network for the forecasting process with the help of coordinated remaining network portions. It integrates four key mechanisms: the Probabilistic Damage Recovery Mechanism (PDRM) for identifying and compensating missing data, Dynamic State Approximation (DSA) for reconstructing disrupted hidden states, Bayesian Confidence-Based Weight Reallocation (BCBWR) to prioritize reliable learning paths, and the Adaptive Loss Adjustment Strategy (ALAS) to dynamically tune the loss function based on damage severity. These are supported by a Reinforcement Learning (RL)-based feedback loop that optimizes recovery actions over time. The model is evaluated on three datasets: NREL benchmark data, real-time measurements from a 1 MW SPVP plant in South India, and synthetically corrupted datasets. Experimental results show that TMNN-SHA outperforms baseline models, including Gated Recurrent Unit Neural Network (GRU NN), Long Short-Term Memory NN (LSTM NN) and Bi-directional LSTM (Bi-LSTM), achieving resilience scores consistently above 0.74 and self-healing latency between 20 and 26 ms under varying seasonal and damage conditions without affecting the accuracy of the network. The performance improvements of the proposed model are supported by comparisons to state-of-the-art methods in recent literature. The proposed model offers a robust, adaptive, and intelligent solution for dynamic real-world environments with reliable SPVP forecasting.