Tail Risk Measures in Truncated Distributions and their Relationship with Inequality Indices
摘要
The application of truncated distributions is highly extensive and vital in practice. They are utilized in real-world operations (not merely in theory) by large insurance companies and banks. One of their applications is fitting models to loss data and estimating risk measures. In this article, an attempt has been made to transfer the concepts of tail risk measures to the family of truncated distributions and to establish a connection between these risk measures in the truncated case and other indices. Additionally, a redefinition of truncated risk measures has been presented based on risk measures in the non-truncated case and inequality indices. The proposed approach provides algebraically closed-form expressions for these risk measures, allowing us to study their properties and evaluate their connections with inequality indices. This redefinition provides a new perspective in the field of risk quantification. To enhance the empirical validity of the proposed formulas, a non-parametric bootstrap methodology with 1,000 replications is implemented to quantify parameter-estimation uncertainty. The bootstrap analysis provides confidence intervals for VaR, ES, and the shape parameter, confirming the numerical stability of the analytical formulas across truncation regimes. Comprehensive validation over truncated Pareto and truncated Exponential models shows that the closed-form expressions achieve extremely high accuracy, with average relative errors of