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<p>In this paper, we investigate an Erlang risk model wherein the premium rate and claim size distribution are dynamically adjusted based on the inter-arrival time and an independent random time window. The ruin probabilities within this model adhere to a system of fractional integro-differential equations. For a specific class of claim size distributions, this system can be further transformed into a fractional differential equation system. We provide explicit solutions for these fractional boundary problems and illustrate our findings with several numerical examples.</p>

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Ruin probabilities in an Erlang risk model with dependence structure based on an independent gamma-distributed time window

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  • 出版模式：

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  • 发表日期：

    2025年6月4日

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  • Wei Zhu

摘要

In this paper, we investigate an Erlang risk model wherein the premium rate and claim size distribution are dynamically adjusted based on the inter-arrival time and an independent random time window. The ruin probabilities within this model adhere to a system of fractional integro-differential equations. For a specific class of claim size distributions, this system can be further transformed into a fractional differential equation system. We provide explicit solutions for these fractional boundary problems and illustrate our findings with several numerical examples.