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<p>Assessing sustainability in coastal zones, especially in Small Island Developing States (SIDS) like the Dominican Republic, requires a multidimensional approach due to ecological fragility and social complexity. This study evaluates sustainability across 17 coastal provinces, home to 69% of the national population, using five dimensions: ecological, economic, productive, cultural, and social. A total of 148 indicators were selected to reflect key development drivers. Each dimension was independently assessed using Detrended Correspondence Analysis (DCA), followed by an integrated comparison through Discriminant Analysis against theoretical development scenarios. Results show that 75% of provinces face intense pressure on natural resources, while 25% exhibit more diversified and sustainable practices, though planning gaps persist. The approach enables identifying sustainability deficits and development trajectories, providing a replicable, context-sensitive tool for decision-making at multiple levels. Beyond the Dominican Republic, the framework can support coastal regions worldwide in pursuing resilient, inclusive, sustainable development pathways and informing evidence-based planning.</p>

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Evaluating sustainability scenarios in coastal zones of Small Island Developing States (SIDS): A case study of the Dominican Republic

  • 期刊论文

  • 出版模式：

    开放获取

  • 发表日期：

    2026年2月19日

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  • Natividad Pantaleón,
  • Abel E. Camilo,
  • Marina Rodes Blanco,
  • Miguel A. Zavala,
  • Antonio Gómez Sal

摘要

Assessing sustainability in coastal zones, especially in Small Island Developing States (SIDS) like the Dominican Republic, requires a multidimensional approach due to ecological fragility and social complexity. This study evaluates sustainability across 17 coastal provinces, home to 69% of the national population, using five dimensions: ecological, economic, productive, cultural, and social. A total of 148 indicators were selected to reflect key development drivers. Each dimension was independently assessed using Detrended Correspondence Analysis (DCA), followed by an integrated comparison through Discriminant Analysis against theoretical development scenarios. Results show that 75% of provinces face intense pressure on natural resources, while 25% exhibit more diversified and sustainable practices, though planning gaps persist. The approach enables identifying sustainability deficits and development trajectories, providing a replicable, context-sensitive tool for decision-making at multiple levels. Beyond the Dominican Republic, the framework can support coastal regions worldwide in pursuing resilient, inclusive, sustainable development pathways and informing evidence-based planning.