Abstract <p>Quantitative investment increasingly relies on complex models like temporal graph networks for asset return prediction, yet these models often function as “black boxes,” hindering user trust and effective decision-making. Concurrently, the multi-source, dynamic nature of financial data poses significant analytical challenges. To address these issues, we present QuantVisExplorer, a visual analytics system integrating a novel Multi-Relational Temporal Graph Fusion (MRTGF) model. Our core contributions are threefold: (1) a systematic data processing pipeline to construct multi-relational graphs from heterogeneous financial data; (2) the innovative MRTGF model, which improves prediction accuracy by fusing static industry-based structures with dynamic, news-driven event relationships; (3) the QuantVisExplorer system itself. The system is designed around a multi-level analytical workflow (Market, Industry, and Asset) that guides users from high-level overviews to granular details. To foster model trust, it provides deep explainability by visualizing feature contributions for prediction attribution and includes an interactive backtesting module for strategy validation. A comprehensive evaluation—including quantitative model comparisons, ablation studies, two in-depth case studies with domain experts, and a formal user study—demonstrates that QuantVisExplorer significantly enhances insight generation, model understanding, and decision-making confidence in quantitative investment.</p> Graphical abstract <p></p>

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QuantVisExplorer: a multi-perspective visual analytics system for quantitative investment

  • Xi Huang,
  • Xinchi Luo,
  • Xuan He,
  • Baocheng Tang,
  • Hongxing Qin,
  • Haibo Hu

摘要

Abstract

Quantitative investment increasingly relies on complex models like temporal graph networks for asset return prediction, yet these models often function as “black boxes,” hindering user trust and effective decision-making. Concurrently, the multi-source, dynamic nature of financial data poses significant analytical challenges. To address these issues, we present QuantVisExplorer, a visual analytics system integrating a novel Multi-Relational Temporal Graph Fusion (MRTGF) model. Our core contributions are threefold: (1) a systematic data processing pipeline to construct multi-relational graphs from heterogeneous financial data; (2) the innovative MRTGF model, which improves prediction accuracy by fusing static industry-based structures with dynamic, news-driven event relationships; (3) the QuantVisExplorer system itself. The system is designed around a multi-level analytical workflow (Market, Industry, and Asset) that guides users from high-level overviews to granular details. To foster model trust, it provides deep explainability by visualizing feature contributions for prediction attribution and includes an interactive backtesting module for strategy validation. A comprehensive evaluation—including quantitative model comparisons, ablation studies, two in-depth case studies with domain experts, and a formal user study—demonstrates that QuantVisExplorer significantly enhances insight generation, model understanding, and decision-making confidence in quantitative investment.

Graphical abstract