<p>This study examines the normalized maximum wave height, <InlineEquation ID="IEq1"> <InlineMediaObject> <ImageObject Color="BlackWhite" FileRef="12601_2025_216_Article_IEq1.gif" Format="GIF" Height="25" Rendition="HTML" Resolution="72" Type="Linedraw" Width="139" /> </InlineMediaObject> <EquationSource Format="TEX">\({\widetilde{H}}_{max}={H}_{max}/{H}_{1/3}\)</EquationSource> <EquationSource Format="MATHML"><math> <mrow> <msub> <mover accent="true"> <mi>H</mi> <mo stretchy="true">~</mo> </mover> <mrow> <mi mathvariant="italic">max</mi> </mrow> </msub> <mo>=</mo> <msub> <mi>H</mi> <mrow> <mi mathvariant="italic">max</mi> </mrow> </msub> <mo stretchy="false">/</mo> <msub> <mi>H</mi> <mrow> <mn>1</mn> <mo stretchy="false">/</mo> <mn>3</mn> </mrow> </msub> </mrow> </math></EquationSource> </InlineEquation>, a key parameter in assessing anomalous waves, coastal passenger ship operations. Data from six wave stations along the east coast of the Republic of Korea were used to estimate and analyze <InlineEquation ID="IEq2"> <InlineMediaObject> <ImageObject Color="BlackWhite" FileRef="12601_2025_216_Article_IEq2.gif" Format="GIF" Height="21" Rendition="HTML" Resolution="72" Type="Linedraw" Width="40" /> </InlineMediaObject> <EquationSource Format="TEX">\({\widetilde{H}}_{max}\)</EquationSource> <EquationSource Format="MATHML"><math> <msub> <mover accent="true"> <mi>H</mi> <mo stretchy="true">~</mo> </mover> <mrow> <mi mathvariant="italic">max</mi> </mrow> </msub> </math></EquationSource> </InlineEquation> through statistical measures and probability density functions. The main methods involved linear regression analysis with significant wave height and mean wave period as independent variables, introducing a novel regression model for unbiased estimation of <InlineEquation ID="IEq3"> <InlineMediaObject> <ImageObject Color="BlackWhite" FileRef="12601_2025_216_Article_IEq2.gif" Format="GIF" Height="21" Rendition="HTML" Resolution="72" Type="Linedraw" Width="40" /> </InlineMediaObject> <EquationSource Format="TEX">\({\widetilde{H}}_{max}\)</EquationSource> <EquationSource Format="MATHML"><math> <msub> <mover accent="true"> <mi>H</mi> <mo stretchy="true">~</mo> </mover> <mrow> <mi mathvariant="italic">max</mi> </mrow> </msub> </math></EquationSource> </InlineEquation>. The results indicate no significant differences in <InlineEquation ID="IEq4"> <InlineMediaObject> <ImageObject Color="BlackWhite" FileRef="12601_2025_216_Article_IEq2.gif" Format="GIF" Height="21" Rendition="HTML" Resolution="72" Type="Linedraw" Width="40" /> </InlineMediaObject> <EquationSource Format="TEX">\({\widetilde{H}}_{max}\)</EquationSource> <EquationSource Format="MATHML"><math> <msub> <mover accent="true"> <mi>H</mi> <mo stretchy="true">~</mo> </mover> <mrow> <mi mathvariant="italic">max</mi> </mrow> </msub> </math></EquationSource> </InlineEquation> across different stations, and fitting with the generalized extreme value distribution was feasible. Additionally, the <InlineEquation ID="IEq5"> <InlineMediaObject> <ImageObject Color="BlackWhite" FileRef="12601_2025_216_Article_IEq2.gif" Format="GIF" Height="21" Rendition="HTML" Resolution="72" Type="Linedraw" Width="40" /> </InlineMediaObject> <EquationSource Format="TEX">\({\widetilde{H}}_{max}\)</EquationSource> <EquationSource Format="MATHML"><math> <msub> <mover accent="true"> <mi>H</mi> <mo stretchy="true">~</mo> </mover> <mrow> <mi mathvariant="italic">max</mi> </mrow> </msub> </math></EquationSource> </InlineEquation> estimates were unbiased when modeled linearly with either significant wave height or mean wave period, though the optimal constant-based model exhibited some bias. A quantitative evaluation of the regression model's performance revealed that it accounted for only 25% of the variance in <InlineEquation ID="IEq6"> <InlineMediaObject> <ImageObject Color="BlackWhite" FileRef="12601_2025_216_Article_IEq2.gif" Format="GIF" Height="21" Rendition="HTML" Resolution="72" Type="Linedraw" Width="40" /> </InlineMediaObject> <EquationSource Format="TEX">\({\widetilde{H}}_{max}\)</EquationSource> <EquationSource Format="MATHML"><math> <msub> <mover accent="true"> <mi>H</mi> <mo stretchy="true">~</mo> </mover> <mrow> <mi mathvariant="italic">max</mi> </mrow> </msub> </math></EquationSource> </InlineEquation>, with the remaining variance attributed to residuals, which followed a right-skewed distribution slightly deviating from normal. These findings underscore the challenges in accurately modeling wave height variability and suggest directions for further research.</p>

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Unbiased Estimation of the Maximum Wave Height-to-Significant Wave Height Ratio Using Wave Monitoring Data

  • Hong Yeon Cho,
  • Gi Seop Lee,
  • Weon-Mu Jeong,
  • Kyong Ho Ryu,
  • Yeon S. Chang

摘要

This study examines the normalized maximum wave height, \({\widetilde{H}}_{max}={H}_{max}/{H}_{1/3}\) H ~ max = H max / H 1 / 3 , a key parameter in assessing anomalous waves, coastal passenger ship operations. Data from six wave stations along the east coast of the Republic of Korea were used to estimate and analyze \({\widetilde{H}}_{max}\) H ~ max through statistical measures and probability density functions. The main methods involved linear regression analysis with significant wave height and mean wave period as independent variables, introducing a novel regression model for unbiased estimation of \({\widetilde{H}}_{max}\) H ~ max . The results indicate no significant differences in \({\widetilde{H}}_{max}\) H ~ max across different stations, and fitting with the generalized extreme value distribution was feasible. Additionally, the \({\widetilde{H}}_{max}\) H ~ max estimates were unbiased when modeled linearly with either significant wave height or mean wave period, though the optimal constant-based model exhibited some bias. A quantitative evaluation of the regression model's performance revealed that it accounted for only 25% of the variance in \({\widetilde{H}}_{max}\) H ~ max , with the remaining variance attributed to residuals, which followed a right-skewed distribution slightly deviating from normal. These findings underscore the challenges in accurately modeling wave height variability and suggest directions for further research.