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<p>We analyzed disaster-linked-disruptions (DLDs) in the operations and performance dynamics of supply chain for disaster needed products (SCDNP), offering guidelines to enhance supply chain (SC) resilience and optimize crisis recovery in disaster risk management (DRM). Developing digital twin-based decision-support systems (DSSs), could better prepare DRM actors for crisis situations. The study utilized a discrete-event simulation (DES) model to assess resilience strategies and the consequences of DLDs on a SC amid earthquakes. It focused on analyzing DLDs’ effects on a SCDNP in Morocco employing Anylogistix SC simulation and optimization software. The study revealed that path closures from main-distribution-facilities (MDFs) to affected localities and MDFs’ shutdown had a lower impact on operations compared to demand fluctuations and MDFs’ inaccessibility-from-supplier. A ten-days shutdown of the solidarity warehouse, along with the other DLDs, resulted in declined inventory levels, diminished service level (SL), and longer lead-times (LTs). The risk analysis pinpointed critical products necessitating increased commitment. Recommendations for enhancing SC resilience in DRM, include digitization, visibility, flexibility, collaboration, redundancy and proactive risk management. We have targeted to assist DRM managers in enhancing logistics resilience and preparedness for earthquake-like crises. The derived quantitative resilience evaluation is streamlining recovery tactics selection, and enhancing best-informed decision-making to reduce the consequences. Our research brings coordinating solutions to achieve adequate preparedness to face emergency situations in Morocco by analyzing SC stability and risk management, during earthquake-similar major disruptions. It emphasizes DLDs’ challenges and provides actionable recommendations for remedial measures.</p>

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Crisis logistics and natural hazards risk management in Morocco: a discrete-event simulation—based assessment of proactiveness and responsiveness

  • 期刊论文

  • 发表日期：

    2025年3月1日

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  • Rachid Mharzi,
  • Abderrahmane Ben Kacem,
  • Hassan Mharzi,
  • Abdelmajid Elouadi

摘要

We analyzed disaster-linked-disruptions (DLDs) in the operations and performance dynamics of supply chain for disaster needed products (SCDNP), offering guidelines to enhance supply chain (SC) resilience and optimize crisis recovery in disaster risk management (DRM). Developing digital twin-based decision-support systems (DSSs), could better prepare DRM actors for crisis situations. The study utilized a discrete-event simulation (DES) model to assess resilience strategies and the consequences of DLDs on a SC amid earthquakes. It focused on analyzing DLDs’ effects on a SCDNP in Morocco employing Anylogistix SC simulation and optimization software. The study revealed that path closures from main-distribution-facilities (MDFs) to affected localities and MDFs’ shutdown had a lower impact on operations compared to demand fluctuations and MDFs’ inaccessibility-from-supplier. A ten-days shutdown of the solidarity warehouse, along with the other DLDs, resulted in declined inventory levels, diminished service level (SL), and longer lead-times (LTs). The risk analysis pinpointed critical products necessitating increased commitment. Recommendations for enhancing SC resilience in DRM, include digitization, visibility, flexibility, collaboration, redundancy and proactive risk management. We have targeted to assist DRM managers in enhancing logistics resilience and preparedness for earthquake-like crises. The derived quantitative resilience evaluation is streamlining recovery tactics selection, and enhancing best-informed decision-making to reduce the consequences. Our research brings coordinating solutions to achieve adequate preparedness to face emergency situations in Morocco by analyzing SC stability and risk management, during earthquake-similar major disruptions. It emphasizes DLDs’ challenges and provides actionable recommendations for remedial measures.