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Dynamics and Density Function of a Stochastic SICA Model of a Standard Incidence Rate with Ornstein–Uhlenbeck Process

  • Zengchao Wu,
  • Daqing Jiang

摘要

In this paper, we study an SICA model with a standard incidence rate, where the contact rate \(\beta \) β is controlled by the Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process. We first prove the existence and uniqueness of the global positive solution, and by constructing an appropriate Lyapunov function, we demonstrate that when \(R_0^s > 1\) R 0 s > 1 , the system has a stationary distribution. Furthermore, we obtain a concrete expression of the probability density function near the quasi-positive equilibrium point. By constructing another suitable Lyapunov function, we also derive a threshold value \(R_0^e\) R 0 e for disease extinction, and when \(R_0^e < 1\) R 0 e < 1 , the disease extinguishes at an exponential rate. Finally, our conclusions are verified through numerical simulations.