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Dynamic behaviors of a cholera model with nonlinear incidences, multiple transmission pathways, and imperfect vaccine

  • Hongyan Zhao,
  • Shaofen Zou,
  • Xia Wang,
  • Yuming Chen

摘要

In this article, we propose a cholera model to study the effects of multiple transmission pathways, imperfect vaccine, nonlinear incidences, and differential infectivity of vibrios. The expression of the basic reproductive number \(\mathcal {R}_0\) R 0 is derived. There is only the disease-free equilibrium \(E_0\) E 0 if \(\mathcal {R}_0\le 1\) R 0 1 , while, besides \(E_0\) E 0 , there is also a unique endemic equilibrium \(E^*\) E if \(\mathcal {R}_0>1\) R 0 > 1 . When \(\mathcal {R}_0<1\) R 0 < 1 , \(E_0\) E 0 is globally asymptotically stable by using the technique of linearization and the fluctuation lemma. When \(\mathcal {R}_0>1\) R 0 > 1 , \(E^*\) E is globally asymptotically stable by the Lyapunov direct method. These theoretical results are supported with numerical simulations for the case with Beddington-DeAngelis incidences. We further perform the sensitivity analyses of \(\mathcal {R}_0\) R 0 and the infection level at \(E^*\) E to determine the significant parameters affecting disease outbreak and severity, respectively. Influences of the vaccination rate \(\phi \) ϕ and the waning rate of vaccine \(\eta \) η on the dynamical behaviors of the model are also discussed.