<p>This article discusses China’s political history from 2025 to 2050. In 2025, there was strong support for the political system due to measures that curbed corruption, reduced pollution, and alleviated poverty, but intellectuals felt stifled by increased repression. From 2025 to 2035—known as China’s “Lost Decade”—China’s economy worsened and relations with the USA further deteriorated, nearly leading to war. The next fifteen years—known as China’s “Golden Age”—saw unparalleled prosperity, an open and pluralistic political system, the setting up of the East Asian Union, and sustained cooperation with the USA to deal with global challenges. Nobody knows what will happen after 2050, but we need optimistic and realistic political scenarios to inspire change for the future.</p>

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China in the Year 2050: A Look Backwards

  • Daniel A. Bell

摘要

This article discusses China’s political history from 2025 to 2050. In 2025, there was strong support for the political system due to measures that curbed corruption, reduced pollution, and alleviated poverty, but intellectuals felt stifled by increased repression. From 2025 to 2035—known as China’s “Lost Decade”—China’s economy worsened and relations with the USA further deteriorated, nearly leading to war. The next fifteen years—known as China’s “Golden Age”—saw unparalleled prosperity, an open and pluralistic political system, the setting up of the East Asian Union, and sustained cooperation with the USA to deal with global challenges. Nobody knows what will happen after 2050, but we need optimistic and realistic political scenarios to inspire change for the future.