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<p>This short report provides the first comprehensive statewide analysis of firearm theft methods and temporal patterns in Tennessee, utilizing 46,336 incident-level reports from 2017 to 2021. Guided by Routine Activity Theory, the research characterizes theft methods (primarily from vehicles and during burglaries) and temporal trends across years, months, weekdays, and hours, establishing a foundational baseline for research and prevention. Vehicle-related thefts dominated (45% of incidents), followed by burglaries (24%). A notable divergence emerged: thefts from vehicles increased post-2019 (e.g., a 28% rise in 2020–2021, with significant seasonal, weekday, and hourly cycling), while burglaries showed a steady and significant linear decline across the period. Temporal patterns revealed low early-morning incidents overall, with vehicle thefts elevated overnight, on weekends, and during spring/summer periods, while burglaries peaked on weekdays when structures were unoccupied. These method-specific shifts highlight evolving opportunity structures and lapses in guardianship. Findings underscore firearm theft’s preventable nature, informing targeted strategies such as secure in-car storage education, home safeguards, and temporal law enforcement patrols.</p>

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Firearm Theft in Tennessee: A Short Report on Characteristics and Trends

  • 期刊论文

  • 发表日期：

    2026年4月1日

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  • Ben Stickle,
  • Brendan D. Dooley

摘要

This short report provides the first comprehensive statewide analysis of firearm theft methods and temporal patterns in Tennessee, utilizing 46,336 incident-level reports from 2017 to 2021. Guided by Routine Activity Theory, the research characterizes theft methods (primarily from vehicles and during burglaries) and temporal trends across years, months, weekdays, and hours, establishing a foundational baseline for research and prevention. Vehicle-related thefts dominated (45% of incidents), followed by burglaries (24%). A notable divergence emerged: thefts from vehicles increased post-2019 (e.g., a 28% rise in 2020–2021, with significant seasonal, weekday, and hourly cycling), while burglaries showed a steady and significant linear decline across the period. Temporal patterns revealed low early-morning incidents overall, with vehicle thefts elevated overnight, on weekends, and during spring/summer periods, while burglaries peaked on weekdays when structures were unoccupied. These method-specific shifts highlight evolving opportunity structures and lapses in guardianship. Findings underscore firearm theft’s preventable nature, informing targeted strategies such as secure in-car storage education, home safeguards, and temporal law enforcement patrols.