<p>The 28 March 2025 Mw 7.7 earthquake in Myanmar occurred along the N–S striking Sagaing Fault near Mandalay and ruptured a previously identified ‘seismic gap’. This shallow, bilateral rupture spanned <InlineEquation ID="IEq1"> <EquationSource Format="TEX">\(\sim\)</EquationSource> <EquationSource Format="MATHML"><math> <mo>∼</mo> </math></EquationSource> </InlineEquation>400&#xa0;km and lasted about 80&#xa0;s. The rupture initially propagated northward at sub-shear speed and then transitioned to a super-shear southward rupture, which likely sustained the rupture on such a long fault. The mainshock was followed by a significant Mw 6.7 aftershock just 11 minutes later. Teleseismic-waveform-data analysis of the mainshock revealed three distinct sub-events, with the central one (10–40&#xa0;s) contributing the most energy and dominating the radiation pattern. A frequency-dependent radiation is observed for the super-shear southern rupture, which ended in oblique–slip. The mainshock seismic moment is <InlineEquation ID="IEq2"> <EquationSource Format="TEX">\(\sim 6.26\times 10^{20}\)</EquationSource> <EquationSource Format="MATHML"><math> <mrow> <mo>∼</mo> <mn>6.26</mn> <mo>×</mo> <msup> <mn>10</mn> <mn>20</mn> </msup> </mrow> </math></EquationSource> </InlineEquation>&#xa0;N.m, and moment magnitude is 7.79. The average slip on the fault is <InlineEquation ID="IEq3"> <EquationSource Format="TEX">\(\sim\)</EquationSource> <EquationSource Format="MATHML"><math> <mo>∼</mo> </math></EquationSource> </InlineEquation>2&#xa0;m, with stress-drop of<InlineEquation ID="IEq4"> <EquationSource Format="TEX">\(\sim 15 \pm 5\)</EquationSource> <EquationSource Format="MATHML"><math> <mrow> <mo>∼</mo> <mn>15</mn> <mo>±</mo> <mn>5</mn> </mrow> </math></EquationSource> </InlineEquation>&#xa0;bars. Source directivity analysis indicated stronger ground motion to the south, consistent with the super-shear rupture. The mainshock not only released the strain, accumulated over decades, on the Sagaing Fault, but potentially increased stress on the adjacent, fully-locked Rakhine-Bangladesh megathrust. This has major implications for seismic hazard in Bangladesh and northeast India.</p>

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The 28 March 2025 Mw 7.7 Myanmar earthquake: spatio-temporal rupture evolution and source characteristics

  • Ajay Kumar,
  • Dibyajyoti Chaudhuri,
  • Rupak Banerjee,
  • Sankarshan Mondal,
  • Sk. Shamim,
  • Tarak Yadav,
  • Supriyo Mitra

摘要

The 28 March 2025 Mw 7.7 earthquake in Myanmar occurred along the N–S striking Sagaing Fault near Mandalay and ruptured a previously identified ‘seismic gap’. This shallow, bilateral rupture spanned \(\sim\) 400 km and lasted about 80 s. The rupture initially propagated northward at sub-shear speed and then transitioned to a super-shear southward rupture, which likely sustained the rupture on such a long fault. The mainshock was followed by a significant Mw 6.7 aftershock just 11 minutes later. Teleseismic-waveform-data analysis of the mainshock revealed three distinct sub-events, with the central one (10–40 s) contributing the most energy and dominating the radiation pattern. A frequency-dependent radiation is observed for the super-shear southern rupture, which ended in oblique–slip. The mainshock seismic moment is \(\sim 6.26\times 10^{20}\) 6.26 × 10 20  N.m, and moment magnitude is 7.79. The average slip on the fault is \(\sim\) 2 m, with stress-drop of \(\sim 15 \pm 5\) 15 ± 5  bars. Source directivity analysis indicated stronger ground motion to the south, consistent with the super-shear rupture. The mainshock not only released the strain, accumulated over decades, on the Sagaing Fault, but potentially increased stress on the adjacent, fully-locked Rakhine-Bangladesh megathrust. This has major implications for seismic hazard in Bangladesh and northeast India.