Methodologies to assess the influence of chemistry on urban nitrogen dioxide concentrations using an atmospheric dispersion model under limited monitoring conditions
摘要
Assessing the performance of an atmospheric dispersion model to estimate nitrogen dioxide (NO2) remains challenging in regions with limited monitoring, where observations are scarce and key variables like ozone (O3) are often unavailable. In this study, we explore different methodologies to assess the influence of chemistry on modelled high NO2 concentrations using DAUMOD-GRS, an urban atmospheric dispersion model with a simplified chemical scheme, applied to the Metropolitan Area of Buenos Aires (MABA) over four years of hourly simulations. We evaluate three complementary approaches: (i) clustering of input/output conditions associated with NO2 exceedances; (ii) analysis of the NO2/NOx concentration ratio; and (iii) sensitivity simulations to key parameters in the chemical scheme, such as reaction time and background O3. Clustering proved useful for detecting metadata issues and identifying consistent conditions associated with exceedances. Our results highlight that, although the NO2/NOx ratio is widely used as a chemical diagnostic, its value depends strongly on the accuracy of NOx estimates, which can limit its applicability for evaluating chemical processes in practice. A bivariate analysis of modelled-to-observed concentration fractions of NO2 vs NOx proved useful for quickly visualizing the distribution of errors in NO2, NOx, and their ratio, along with associated input data conditions. Sensitivity tests revealed that the fraction of NO2 in NOx emissions had greater impact on hourly exceedances, while background O3 had a larger influence on annual means. These methods offer complementary insights and are particularly valuable in data-scarce contexts. Future work may benefit from incorporating O3 observations and comparisons with chemical transport models to further support chemical evaluations and to explore additional reactions beyond those included in simplified schemes.