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Hepatitis C community prevalence is over-estimated: a prospective, birth cohort study

  • P. Aiden McCormick,
  • Marie O’Grady,
  • Cillian F. De Gascun,
  • John S. Lambert,
  • Orla Crosbie,
  • Susan McKiernan,
  • Maeve Skelly,
  • Paul Holder,
  • Garry Courtney,
  • Brian Hennessy,
  • Kevin Walsh,
  • Roisin Twohig,
  • Kate Browne,
  • Tessa O’Gorman,
  • Vivion Crowley,
  • Seán J. Costelloe,
  • Roz O’Byrne,
  • Elizabeth Whitney,
  • Orla Gildea,
  • Noreen Montgomery

摘要

Background

Hepatitis C virus infection is often asymptomatic, and many patients may be unaware they are infected. Community-based, birth cohort screening has been advocated to identify these patients. It has been estimated that 0.7–1% of individuals born between 1965 and 1985 in Ireland are infected. The cost-effectiveness of screening is critically dependent on the population prevalence.

Aims

The aim is to determine the community prevalence of hepatitis C virus infection in the birth cohort 1965–1985.

Methods

Residual serum samples from blood tests ordered by community general practitioners were anonymised and analysed for the presence of hepatitis C antibody ± antigen. Twelve large general hospitals throughout the country participated.

Results

A total of 14,320 samples were tested, 9347 of which were from the birth cohort 1965–1985. Seventy-two samples were positive for hepatitis C antibody of which 12 were positive for hepatitis C antigen (17%). The overall prevalence of hepatitis C antigen in the birth cohort was 0.09%. A higher prevalence (0.39%) was identified in males in two urban areas of Dublin.

Conclusions

Hepatitis C virus seroprevalence was much lower than previously estimated. The proportion of antibody positive patients with hepatitis C antigen was also lower than expected suggesting the effects of treatment and/or high spontaneous viral clearance. Universal birth cohort screening is unlikely to be cost-effective. Targeted birth cohort screening in high prevalence areas could be considered.