<p>In this work, we review the theory behind the Bayesian calibration of complex computer models. In particular, emphasis is placed on its use for applications involving computationally expensive simulations and scarce experimental data. In the article, we present a unified framework that incorporates various Bayesian calibration methods, including well-established approaches. Furthermore, we describe their implementation and use with a new, open-source Python library, <Emphasis FontCategory="NonProportional">ACBICI</Emphasis> (A Configurable BayesIan Calibration and Inference Package). All algorithms are implemented with an object-oriented structure designed to be both easy to use and readily extensible. In particular, single-output and multiple-output calibration are addressed in a consistent manner. The article completes the theory and its implementation with practical recommendations for calibrating problems of interest. These guidelines—currently unavailable in a unified form elsewhere—together with the open-source Python library, are intended to support the reliable calibration of computational codes and models commonly used in engineering and related fields. Overall, this work aims to serve both as a comprehensive review of the statistical foundations and as a practical guide to Bayesian calibration with modern software tools.</p>

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A Framework for the Bayesian Calibration of Complex and Data-Scarce Models in Applied Sciences

  • Christina Schenk,
  • Ignacio Romero

摘要

In this work, we review the theory behind the Bayesian calibration of complex computer models. In particular, emphasis is placed on its use for applications involving computationally expensive simulations and scarce experimental data. In the article, we present a unified framework that incorporates various Bayesian calibration methods, including well-established approaches. Furthermore, we describe their implementation and use with a new, open-source Python library, ACBICI (A Configurable BayesIan Calibration and Inference Package). All algorithms are implemented with an object-oriented structure designed to be both easy to use and readily extensible. In particular, single-output and multiple-output calibration are addressed in a consistent manner. The article completes the theory and its implementation with practical recommendations for calibrating problems of interest. These guidelines—currently unavailable in a unified form elsewhere—together with the open-source Python library, are intended to support the reliable calibration of computational codes and models commonly used in engineering and related fields. Overall, this work aims to serve both as a comprehensive review of the statistical foundations and as a practical guide to Bayesian calibration with modern software tools.