Trajectories and predictors of anxiety and depression among older cancer survivors: a nationally representative cohort study

The study aimed to describe the long-term trajectories of anxiety and depression among older cancer survivors and examine sociodemographic and health-related predictors of different trajectories.

Data were from the National Health and Aging Trends Study. Patient Health Questionnaire-4 was used to assess anxiety and depression. Group-based trajectory model was used to identify the distinct trajectories of anxiety and depression from 2015 to 2021. Design-based multinomial logistic regression was used to examine predictors of different trajectories. All analyses accounted for the complex sample design and survey weights.

A total of 1766 older cancer survivors were included representing 8.9 million older cancer survivors. The prevalence of anxiety and depression from 2015 to 2021 ranged from 25.12 to 29.11%. Four trajectories were identified: sustained low-risk (49.0%), deteriorating (24.1%), meliorating (11.0%), and sustained high-risk (16.1%). Potential predictors of high-risk anxiety and depression include older age, female, lower annual income, abnormal BMI, poorer self-rated health, more difficulty in activities of daily living (ADL), and worse cognitive function (P < 0.05).

The anxiety and depression progression patterns are heterogeneous among older cancer survivors. The trajectory affiliations could be predicted by sociodemographic and health-related factors, which have the potential to inform targeted clinical strategies (e.g., improve ADL and ameliorate cognitive function).

Anxiety and depression are common among older cancer survivors, and long-term trajectories identified by this study might help realize early-stage identification and individualized interventions for mental disorders.