Changing Trends in the Cysticercosis–Related Disease Burden from 1990 to 2021 and its Predicted Level in 2022–2050 Years
摘要
A major worldwide health concern is cysticercosis, a zoonotic parasitic illness brought on by human parasites. This study aims to examine the current worldwide cysticercosis burden in order to serve as a resource for developing successful global control initiatives.
MethodsFive layers of data about cysticercosis were analyzed: gender, age, year, and the regional and national social and economic development index (SDI). The various groups were compared using age-standardized rates, and patterns in the burden of disease were examined and evaluated. Furthermore, from 2022 to 2050, disease patterns were predicted using the ARIMA and ES models.
ResultsIt was discovered that compared with 1990, the number of deaths decreased by 362 in 2021, the prevalence number increased by 1,318,963, the DALYs decreased by 151,192, and the age-standardized Mortality rate (ASMR) decreased by 0.02 per 100,000 people (EAPC − 2.39, 95% CI − 2.46 to − 2.32), the age-standardized DALY rate (ASDR) decreased by 9.14 per 100,000 people (EAPC − 1.84, 95% CI − 1.93 to − 1.75), and the age-standardized prevalence rate (ASPR) decreased by 17.18 per 100,000 people (EAPC − 1.2, 95% CI − 1.3 to − 1.1).
ConclusionsTo sum up, although the prevalence of cysticercosis has dramatically declined globally over the last 30 years, it is still high in many low-SDI nations and regions. Therefore, in order to further optimize prevention and control methods and lower the burden of disease in high-burden regions and countries, it is imperative that international cooperation be strengthened.