The co-evolution of East Asian subtropical westerly jet and East Asian summer monsoon during different time periods in the Holocene and its influence on precipitation patterns in China
摘要
Generally, the interaction between the East Asian subtropical westerly jet (EASWJ) and the East Asian summer monsoon (EASM) is regarded as a critical dynamic factor in the evolution of precipitation patterns in China. Using simulation results from the transient climate evolution since the last glacial maximum, this study applies the multivariate empirical orthogonal function (MVEOF) analysis method to investigate the co-evolution relationships of the EASWJ and the EASM during the early, middle, and late Holocene, as well as their influence on precipitation patterns in China. The results indicate that all the first MVEOF modes in different time periods of the Holocene display an out-of-phase relationship in the intensity anomaly between the EASWJ and the EASM. However, the jet stream is wider and more tilted in the late Holocene. Under the influence of secondary circulations formed during their co-evolution, a north-south dipolar precipitation pattern in eastern China (“flood in the south and drought in the north” or “drought in the south and flood in the north”) and an east-west dipolar pattern in northern China (“wet in the west and dry in the east” or “wet in the east and dry in the west”) are found in the early and middle Holocene, while in the late Holocene a regionally-consistent precipitation pattern is witnessed across the whole region. In this mode, the precipitation in the middle and late Holocene is primarily dominated by trend changes. The second MVEOF mode reveals that the EASM weakens when the EASWJ shifts eastward and the jet steam axis shortens during the early Holocene, resulting in a north-south dipolar precipitation pattern in eastern China and a regionally-consistent pattern in northern China. In the middle Holocene, dipolar precipitation patterns are also observed in both eastern China and northern China when the EASWJ moves northward and the EASM strengthens, while the moisture condition in North China is less pronounced, and vice versa. In the late Holocene, the intensity anomalies of the EASWJ and the EASM exhibit an out-of-phase relationship in the temperate zone and an in-phase relationship in the subtropical zone, leading to a tripolar precipitation pattern in eastern China and a dipolar pattern in northern China. In this mode, the precipitation during the middle and late Holocene is primarily dominated by centennial oscillations. The precipitation patterns influenced by the co-evolution relationship between EASWJ and EASM correspond well with the reconstructed precipitation data, providing an explanation for the precipitation patterns observed in the reconstructed data from the perspective of dynamical mechanisms.