Global Terrestrial Ecosystem Carbon Sink Retrieval Coupled with Four-Dimensional Variational Data Assimilation and Deep Learning
摘要
Optimization of land ecosystem carbon sink inversions based on data assimilation requires the use of an atmospheric CO2 transport model as the observation operator to assimilate observed atmospheric CO2 concentrations, thereby achieving posterior optimization of prior land ecosystem carbon fluxes. However, the high computational cost of atmospheric CO2 transport models and the complexity of constructing adjoint algorithms have limited the efficiency of land carbon sink inversion, often requiring high-performance computing clusters and resulting in low assimilation efficiency. In this study, an efficient atmospheric CO2 intelligent transport model was developed using the GraphCast deep learning network. A neural network automatic differentiation algorithm was adopted to solve the adjoint of the observation operator, and a deep learning optimization algorithm was used to minimize the four-dimensional variational assimilation (4DVAR) cost function. This approach enabled the construction of a 4DVAR algorithm within a deep learning framework for land ecosystem carbon sink estimation. Experimental results demonstrate that the proposed machine learning assimilation algorithm can achieve global carbon flux inversion at a 1° × 1°/3-h resolution for the next seven days in approximately four minutes, while maintaining reliable accuracy.