<p>Limited information in China is available on how air pollution impacts daily hospitalizations for respiratory diseases before and under COVID-19 pandemic. Our aim is to investigate the potential effects of ambient air pollution and the pandemic on daily hospitalizations for respiratory diseases. Generalized additive model (GAM) are combined with Random Forest (RF) and Shapley Additive Interpretation (SHAP) method to analyze pollutant-hospitalization associations and rank pollutant importance based on a 9-year dataset from a tertiary grade A general hospital. Machine learning pinpointed PM<sub>2.5</sub>, PM<sub>10</sub>, and NO<sub>2</sub> as main drivers of increased hospitalizations, consistent with GAM risk estimates, while temperature as a covariate was second only to these three pollutants. During the whole periods, when PM<sub>2.5</sub> (8-day moving average, MA<sub>07</sub>), PM<sub>10</sub> (MA<sub>07</sub>), NO<sub>2</sub> (MA<sub>07</sub>) and O<sub>3</sub>-8&#xa0;h (MA<sub>05</sub>) rose by 10&#xa0;μg/m<sup>3</sup>, daily hospitalizations increased by 2.19%, 1.35%, 2.84% and 0.94% respectively. It was 15.70% for every 1&#xa0;mg/m<sup>3</sup> rise in CO (MA<sub>07</sub>). Specifically, PM<sub>2.5</sub>, PM<sub>10</sub>, NO<sub>2</sub> and CO at MA<sub>02</sub> effects strengthened during the pandemic, with hospitalization increases rising from 1.11%, 0.65%, 1.82%, and 12.41% before pre-pandemic to 1.91%, 0.69%, 3.9%, and 22.07%, respectively. The associations varied by individual characteristics, with males susceptible to PM<sub>10</sub> and females to PM<sub>2.5</sub>. The effects of PM<sub>2.5</sub>, PM<sub>10</sub>, and NO<sub>2</sub> in the warm season were more pronounced than in the cold, although they tend to have lower concentrations. This study indicates that exposure to PM<sub>2.5</sub>, PM<sub>10</sub> and NO<sub>2</sub> has a stronger impact on respiratory health than to other pollutants.</p> Graphical Abstract <p></p>

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Association of Respiratory Disease Hospitalizations and Air Pollutants Before and During the COVID-19 Pandemic: A Case Study of a Chinese City Along the Eastern Coast

  • Zhengjia Wang,
  • Hongwei Wang,
  • Wanru Yang,
  • Long Chen,
  • Tong Ke,
  • Huiming Li,
  • Min Shao

摘要

Limited information in China is available on how air pollution impacts daily hospitalizations for respiratory diseases before and under COVID-19 pandemic. Our aim is to investigate the potential effects of ambient air pollution and the pandemic on daily hospitalizations for respiratory diseases. Generalized additive model (GAM) are combined with Random Forest (RF) and Shapley Additive Interpretation (SHAP) method to analyze pollutant-hospitalization associations and rank pollutant importance based on a 9-year dataset from a tertiary grade A general hospital. Machine learning pinpointed PM2.5, PM10, and NO2 as main drivers of increased hospitalizations, consistent with GAM risk estimates, while temperature as a covariate was second only to these three pollutants. During the whole periods, when PM2.5 (8-day moving average, MA07), PM10 (MA07), NO2 (MA07) and O3-8 h (MA05) rose by 10 μg/m3, daily hospitalizations increased by 2.19%, 1.35%, 2.84% and 0.94% respectively. It was 15.70% for every 1 mg/m3 rise in CO (MA07). Specifically, PM2.5, PM10, NO2 and CO at MA02 effects strengthened during the pandemic, with hospitalization increases rising from 1.11%, 0.65%, 1.82%, and 12.41% before pre-pandemic to 1.91%, 0.69%, 3.9%, and 22.07%, respectively. The associations varied by individual characteristics, with males susceptible to PM10 and females to PM2.5. The effects of PM2.5, PM10, and NO2 in the warm season were more pronounced than in the cold, although they tend to have lower concentrations. This study indicates that exposure to PM2.5, PM10 and NO2 has a stronger impact on respiratory health than to other pollutants.

Graphical Abstract